GBP/USD Short Play – Anticipating a Smooth 87-Pip DropBritish Pound/US DollarFX:GBPUSDCoffeeshopCryptoTime of Analysis: 9:15 PM (Central US) | Current Price: 1.35736 Key Levels: 1.35268 (First Target) → 1.34918 (Final Target) | Retracement Spike: 1.35500 (NY Session) A Strategic Short Ahead of London & NY Session Weakness Based on observed price action and intermarket dynamics, GBP/USD is primed for a controlled descent over the next 12–18 hours, with Tokyo/Sydney sessions laying the groundwork for London’s bearish momentum. Here’s the breakdown: 1. Current Setup & Immediate Catalysts Bearish Continuation Pattern: The pair has shown subtle rejection near 1.35800 (key intraday resistance), with weakening upward momentum. The initial 30-pip drop from the evening high suggests sellers are testing the waters. Tokyo/Sydney Session Role: These sessions often consolidate or extend late NY moves. With USD strength creeping in (e.g., Treasury yields firming, risk-off sentiment in Asia), a slow grind toward 1.35268 is likely before London opens. 2. London Session: The Accelerator European Liquidity Dive: London traders will likely exploit the lack of bullish defense, pushing GBP/USD toward 1.34918. Key factors: Divergence with EUR: If EUR/GBP rallies, GBP/USD suffers compounded selling. UK Data Lull: No major catalysts = technicals dominate. Order Flow Clue: The drop to 1.35268 may trigger stop-loss cascades below 1.35500, fueling the next leg down. 3. New York Session: The Trap Spike Classic NY Fakeout: After a steady decline, NY traders often "test" liquidity with a quick spike (likely 1.35500) before resuming the trend. This would: Trap late shorts chasing the breakdown. Provide a optimal entry for bears targeting sub-1.34900. Fed Shadow: Any USD strength from hawkish Fed whispers (even without news) could cap rebounds. Risk Considerations Bullish Threat: A surprise London headline (e.g., BoE hike chatter) could stall the move, but the technical structure favors downside. Stop Placement: Initial stops above 1.35950 (pre-9:15 PM swing high) for early entries. Adjust to 1.35780 if entering post-Tokyo open. ------------------------------------- Final Call "87 pips or bust." This is a high-probability, slow-burn short with defined targets. Tokyo/Sydney sets the table, London serves the main course, and NY adds the dessert spike before the next leg down. Projected Timeline: Next 6h (Tokyo/Sydney): Drop to 1.35268. London Open (3AM CT): Acceleration to 1.34918. NY Open (7AM CT): Spike to 1.35500, then resumption of selling. Trade smart, trade ruthless.