AMD at Decision Point — Will $125 Hold or Break into Gamma Gap?Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.BATS:AMDBullBearInsights🔬 GEX (Options Sentiment) Breakdown: * Call Walls / Resistance: * $128.89 = Gamma Wall (Highest positive NET GEX) * $130.69 = 2nd CALL Wall * $132–$135 = Heavy call congestion, unlikely unless breakout with macro tailwind * Put Support Walls: * $125 = Current Gamma Flip Level (critical) * $122 / $121 = PUT support zone (GEX cluster + structure) * $113 = 2nd PUT Wall (flush risk zone) * Options Flow Metrics: * IVR: 15.6 (modest) * IVx avg: 48.3 * Call Flow: 33.8% (bullish leaning) * GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢🟢 (moderately bullish, but fading under $126) * Interpretation: * AMD is trapped just below $128.89 Gamma Wall, failing to reclaim the high. * If $125 breaks, dealer gamma hedging could intensify toward $122–$121. 🧠 15-Minute Smart Money Price Action: * Current Price: $126.95 * Structure: * CHoCH confirmed after rally peaked at $130.69. * Supply rejection zone (pink box) held hard — price reversed and dropped into trendline test. * Currently compressing between $126.40 and $125.06, right above the CHoCH floor. * Volume: * Fading volume = consolidation after weakness * Watch for a volume spike at the $125 line to confirm breakout or bounce * Trendlines: * Still above ascending trendline, but momentum weakening. 🧭 Trade Scenarios for June 18: 🟥 Bearish Breakdown Setup: * Trigger: Clean break and 15-min close below $125.06 * Target 1: $122.00 (PUT wall + support) * Target 2: $121 → possible gamma flush zone * Stop-loss: Above $127.20 (above minor CHoCH reclaim) Gamma + SMC breakdown at $125 = likely acceleration to $122. Volume confirmation critical. 🟩 Bullish Continuation Setup: * Trigger: Reclaim and 15-min close above $127.50 * Target 1: $128.89 (Gamma wall) * Target 2: $130.69 (previous high + 2nd CALL Wall) * Stop-loss: Below $125.50 Only valid if macro supports or SPY/QQQ bounce. Otherwise, just a fade opportunity for premium sellers. 💭 My Thoughts: * AMD is hovering above a critical gamma/structure level at $125 — if it breaks, expect dealer flows to push it quickly toward $122. * Volatility is still relatively low → options are priced favorably for directional trades. * Watch SPY/QQQ correlation — if market remains weak, AMD likely leads tech breakdowns. * Patience pays here — don't front-run. Wait for candle close confirmation at $125 or reclaim of $127.50. ✅ Summary for June 18: * Bias: Neutral → Bearish * Key Breakdown Level: $125.06 * Bearish Targets: $122 → $121 * Bullish Reclaim: Above $127.50 = potential move to $130 * GEX Danger Zone: Below $125 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always trade your own plan and manage your risk.