Countries: Bangladesh, Myanmar Source: Integrated Food Security Phase Classification Please refer to the attached file. OverviewApproximately 16 million people (17 percent of the analysed population) are experiencing high levels of acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above) between May and December 2025. This includes 361,000 people classified in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency), characterised by large food gaps and high levels of acute malnutrition. A further 15.6 million people are in IPC Phase 3 (Crisis). This is a slight increase from the current period (April 2025)1 which saw 15.5 million people experience IPC Phase 3 or above, with no people classified in IPC Phase 4.High levels of food insecurity are significantly affecting the Forcibly Displaced Myanmar Nationals (FDMN) in Cox’s Bazar and Bhashanchar, with 20 percent classified in Phase 4 and 20 percent in Phase 3 respectively. Sunamganj and host-community and non-host local community in Cox’s Bazar are also facing or expected to face high levels of acute food insecurity, with 30 percent and 35 percent of their respective populations classified in Phase 3. There is 5 percent of the population classified in Phase 4 for Sunamganj. District level changes include Bagerhat which is expected to deteriorate to Phase 3, while Noakhali is expected to improve to Phase 2.The food security situation is driven by the lingering effects of the 2024 climatic shocks, including lasting effects of Cyclone Remal—particularly widespread flooding. Persistent macroeconomic challenges, political instability, and the large population of FDMN without sustainable livelihoods are also driving the food insecurity situation. New influxes and funding shortfalls— particularly affecting the FDMN response—are further exacerbating the situation.Humanitarian Food Security Assistance (HFSA) for Bangladeshi residents remained minimal and had limited impact on the classification, while it plays a critical role for the FDMN. The entire population of FDMN received a full ration covering their kilocalorie needs through HFSA during the current period (April). However, the ongoing reduction on funds for HFSA are expected to impact rations, and they are only projected to meet 58 percent of kilocalorie needs in the May to December projection period. As these populations lack access to sustainable livelihoods, the reduction in assistance is likely to push a substantial FDMN population into Phase 4.The IPC acute food insecurity analysis covered 39 units, with 23 classified in IPC Phase 2 (Stressed) and 16 districts in IPC Phase 3 (Crisis).The recent nutrition assessments conducted across 18 disaster prone districts of Bangladesh revealed that an estimated 1.6 million children aged 6-59 months are suffering or expected to suffer acute malnutrition between January and December 2025. This includes nearly 144,000 cases of Severe Acute Malnutrition (SAM) and about 1.4 million cases of Moderate Acute Malnutrition (MAM). Furthermore, nearly 117,000 pregnant and breastfeeding women (PBW) are expected to suffer acute malnutrition in the same period. Among the FDMN residing in Cox’s Bazar and Bhashanchar, acute malnutrition is prevalent with an estimated 81,545 children and 5,000 PBW suffering or expected to suffer acute malnutrition.