XAUUSD — July 3rd, 2025: Is the Downtrend Finally Over?

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XAUUSD — July 3rd, 2025: Is the Downtrend Finally Over?GoldOANDA:XAUUSDAbsoluteWillidGold (XAUUSD) opened today with a bullish gap, and continued the momentum from Tuesday’s breakout above the major downtrendline that had capped the market for weeks. This technical breakout was long-awaited by many traders, and it's now leading us into a potential trend reversal phase — but not without resistance. Price has now reached a critical resistance zone at 3366, which previously acted as a strong supply area during the last leg of the downtrend. If this level is broken decisively (ideally with a 4H candle close and follow-through), it may signal a clean shift toward a mid-term uptrend, with upside targets at 3379, 3403, and even 3430. That said, rejection at 3366 has already triggered a minor pullback. We’re now watching the 3343–3351 zone as a potential support and an optimal buy entry area. If this zone holds, it could provide the fuel needed for bulls to continue their push. 🟢 Suggested Trade Plan BUY LIMIT 3343–3351 Stop Loss 3325 Take Profit 1 3379 Take Profit 2 3403 Take Profit 3 3430 (Alternatively, consider a BUY STOP above 3370 in case of direct breakout) 📌 Market Structure Resistance 3 3430 Resistance 2 3403 Resistance 1 3382 Pivot 3366 Support 1 3342 Support 2 3322 Support 3 3305 ⚠️ Important Macro Alert Today’s session is highly risky due to the early release of Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data, which is scheduled today instead of Friday because of the U.S. Independence Day (July 4) holiday tomorrow. This brings a major volatility spike risk during the New York session. Manage your position size wisely, avoid emotional trades, and wait for solid confirmations. Discipline beats prediction. Trade what you see — not what you feel. Keep healthy so we can keep trading and we can keep on profiting.