US Tech 100 (NDX) Technical Analysis - Bearish Swing Opportunity

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US Tech 100 (NDX) Technical Analysis - Bearish Swing OpportunityUS Tech 100 IndexICMARKETS:USTECFXCapitalClubThe Nasdaq-100 has reached a critical technical juncture presenting a high-probability short opportunity for the coming week. Multiple technical factors have aligned to suggest a significant downside move is developing. Key Technical Observations Price Structure Analysis Formation of a failed retest of broken uptrend support, now functioning as resistance Rejection from the Point of Control (POC) area around 21,122 Price failed to recapture the key Value Area Low (VAL) at 21,086 Clear lower highs and lower lows developing on the H4 timeframe Moving Average Configuration All major EMAs (8, 13, 21, 55, 200) are in bearish alignment Price trading well below the 55 EMA, confirming the bearish bias Recent price action showing rejection at the 21 EMA intersection Momentum Indicators MACD showing continued negative momentum and bearish divergence Volume profile indicates diminishing buying pressure during recent consolidation Momentum oscillators in oversold territory but showing no reversal signals Trade Setup Entry near 21,110 provides an excellent risk-reward opportunity with a stop above the recent swing high at 21,383. The primary target at 20,500 represents a significant support level and offers substantial profit potential. Macro Context Recent macroeconomic uncertainty combined with technical exhaustion after the recent rally creates an environment supportive of this correction. Key catalysts in the coming days could accelerate this move. Expected Price Behavior Look for initial support tests around 21,000 psychological level, followed by potential acceleration toward the blue box support zone. Expect periods of consolidation during this move, particularly at previous support levels around 20,950 and 20,750. This setup provides an excellent swing trading opportunity with favorable risk-reward dynamics and strong technical confirmation.