GBP/USD 4-Hour Time Frame Analysis

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GBP/USD 4-Hour Time Frame AnalysisBritish Pound/US DollarFX:GBPUSDRebornFXTraderGBP/USD 4-Hour Time Frame Analysis On the 4-hour timeframe, GBP/USD is in an uptrend, consistently forming higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). Recently, price broke above two minor key levels, now acting as support between 1.25600 and 1.26000. Following the breakout, price retraced below the first minor key level (1.25600) after breaking the second minor key (1.26000). This retracement suggests a liquidity grab, where market makers accumulate buy orders by targeting stop-losses placed below these levels. Currently, the price is positioned above the 1.26000 level, indicating potential continuation of the uptrend. If price confirms liquidity accumulation and breaks above the second minor key level again, we will wait for a 4-hour candle to close above 1.26000 for confirmation. Upon this confirmation, we will place a buy limit order at 1.26170, aligning with our risk parameters. Buy Limit Entry: 1.26170 (above key level) Stop Loss (SL): 1.25500 (below liquidity) Take Profit (TP): 1.27860 (next minor key resistance) Key Levels: Minor Support: 1.25600 (previously broken) Minor Support: 1.26000 (current key level) This plan aims to capitalize on the continuation of the bullish structure while maintaining disciplined risk management. Fundamental Analysis: In February 2025, several key developments influenced the GBP/USD exchange rate: Bank of England's Interest Rate Cut: The Bank of England (BoE) reduced its interest rate from 4.75% to 4.5%, aiming to support the economy amid a bleak outlook. This move contrasts with the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain steady rates, which led to a 0.9% decline in the pound against the U.S. dollar, bringing it to $1.238. Lower interest rates typically weaken the currency, but the recent technical recovery suggests buyers are stepping in, especially as liquidity zones are tested. Conclusion: Given the current uptrend structure and the fundamental backdrop, we anticipate further upside movement if the price confirms a break above 1.26000 on the 4-hour chart: Technical Confirmation: If the price closes above 1.26000, we will enter a buy limit at 1.26170. Risk Management: Our stop loss is set at 1.25500, while our take profit targets 1.27860. Fundamental Factors: Despite the BoE's rate cut, positive sentiment from trade policy developments and market reaction to liquidity zones suggests potential for a short-term bullish move. By combining technical confirmation with these fundamental insights, we maintain a buy bias with a carefully managed risk-reward strategy. 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.