EUR/USD: Options signal more downside for the dollarEuro vs US DollarACTIVTRADES:EURUSDActivTradesIon Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst After a difficult start of the year for the greenback, the US dollar seems to have slowed its decline... but not for long, if we look at options market activity. Traders are still aggressively bearish, especially against the euro and the yen. According to LSEG data, more than 59% of FX options volume on CME Group (NASDAQ: CME) is in dollar put contracts, reflecting a clear expectation of further depreciation. This pressure is particularly concentrated in EUR/USD, where flows are pointing to a euro rally driven by the expectation of more aggressive rate cuts in the US than in Europe. Since the beginning of the year, EUR/USD has swung wildly, influenced by rate differentials, macroeconomic data and the Fed's dovish turn. Although the ECB is also poised to cut rates, the market seems to be discounting a deeper and faster cycle in the US, which is weakening the dollar in the medium term. Technical Analysis Technically, if the pair manages to consolidate above 1.13366 we could see an advance to the nearby 1.14896 resistance. If this resistance is pierced we could contemplate a free upside move towards 1.18853. If these upside predictions are not fulfilled the pair should look for the mid-range checkpoint at 1.09223, if this area fails to hold we would see a drop to the lower end of the range at 1.053227. The mid-range crosses signal a clear uptrend and the RSI supports the idea of an overbought advance at the current 58.42%. In short, the options market leaves no room for doubt: investors have not yet closed the bearish chapter for the dollar, and the euro could be one of the major beneficiaries if the selling pressure continues. ******************************************************************************************* La información facilitada no constituye un análisis de inversiones. El material no se ha elaborado de conformidad con los requisitos legales destinados a promover la independencia de los informes de inversiones y, como tal, debe considerarse una comunicación comercial. Toda la información ha sido preparada por ActivTrades ("AT"). La información no contiene un registro de los precios de AT, o una oferta o solicitud de una transacción en cualquier instrumento financiero. Ninguna representación o garantía se da en cuanto a la exactitud o integridad de esta información. Cualquier material proporcionado no tiene en cuenta el objetivo específico de inversión y la situación financiera de cualquier persona que pueda recibirlo. La rentabilidad pasada no es un indicador fiable de la rentabilidad futura. AT presta un servicio exclusivamente de ejecución. En consecuencia, toda persona que actúe sobre la base de la información facilitada lo hace por su cuenta y riesgo.