RenderWithMe | Nifty 50-Forecast Upcoming Week July 7–11,2025Nifty 50 IndexNSE:NIFTYrenderwithme ~~NIFTY 50 Analysis for Next Week (July 7–11, 2025)Current Market ContextRecent ~~ Performance: As of July 4, 2025, the NIFTY 50 closed at 25,461, Up 55 points from the previous session, The index has been trading within an ascending channel, with a weekly decline of -0.45% but a monthly gain of 3.67% and a yearly increase of 4.48%. # Global Cues: Mixed signals from global markets are influencing sentiment. U.S. markets are hitting record highs, while Asian markets like Japan’s Nikkei 225 (+600 points) and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (-0.42%) show varied trends. Rising oil prices and geopolitical concerns, along with expectations of new U.S. tariff announcements under the Trump policy roadmap, are creating caution. # Domestic Factors: Strong institutional buying from Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) (net buyers of ₹3,036 crore) contrasts with Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) being net sellers (₹1,561 crore). This dynamic suggests domestic support but potential headwinds from foreign outflows. ~~ Technical Analysis ~~ Key Levels:Support: Immediate support lies at 25,000–25,150. A break below 25,000 could signal short-term weakness, with further support at 24,982 and 24,622. Resistance: Resistance is seen at 25,650–25,750, with a strong barrier at 25,690–25,760. A breakout above 25,750 with volume confirmation could push the index toward 26,000 or higher (potentially 28,435). Trend: The NIFTY is in a positive trend but showing signs of consolidation. Technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 67.3 suggest upward momentum but caution as it nears overbought territory. Chart Patterns: A "Cup and Handle" pattern is forming on the daily timeframe, indicating a bullish continuation if the index breaks above 25,655. However, a failure to sustain above 25,400 could lead to a pullback toward 25,320–25,000. Moving Averages: The index remains above key moving averages (5 DMA: 24,908.6, 10 DMA: 24,934.2, 20 DMA: 24,862.07), reinforcing a bullish bias as long as it holds above 25,338 (daily closing stop-loss). Sectoral OutlookPositive Sectors: Nifty Metal (+0.23%) and Nifty Pharma (+0.30%) showed gains, suggesting resilience. Banking remains strong, with Bank Nifty hitting a new high of 57,614.50 despite recent profit booking. Weak Sectors: Nifty IT (-0.01%) and Nifty Financial Services (-0.47%) faced selling pressure, with key constituents like Kotak Bank (-1.96%) and Bajaj Finance (-1.39%) dragging performance. Focus Areas: Watch banking and pharma for potential leadership, while IT and financials may remain subdued unless buying interest returns. Key Factors to WatchGlobal Markets: U.S. and Asian market trends, particularly U.S. tariff policies and Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, will influence sentiment. Macroeconomic Data: Domestic indicators like inflation, GDP revisions, or RBI policy updates could sway the market. FII/DII Activity: Continued DII buying could offset FII selling, but a reversal in FII flows will be critical for sustained upside. Geopolitical Risks: Rising oil prices and U.S.–India trade developments may create volatility. Technical Breakouts: Monitor for a breakout above 25,750 or a breakdown below 25,000 to confirm the next directional move. Trading StrategyBullish Case: If NIFTY sustains above 25,650, consider buying call options or index futures targeting 25,760–26,000. Use a stop-loss at 25,000. Bearish Case: If NIFTY falls below 25,000, short positions or put options could target 24,982–24,622, with a stop-loss at 25,450. Range-Bound: If the index trades between 25,450–25,750, adopt a neutral strategy like selling iron condors to capitalize on low volatility. Risk Management: Use strict stop-losses and avoid over-leveraging, as volatility is expected due to global and domestic triggers. Forecast for the WeekExpected Range: 25,000–25,750, with potential for a breakout toward 26,000 if resistance is cleared. Bias: Sideways to moderately bullish, with risks of profit booking or volatility mid-week. Probability:Bullish breakout (above 25,750): 40% Consolidation (25,000–25,750): 50% Bearish pullback (below 25,000): 10% Long-Term Outlook (July 2025)Predictions suggest NIFTY could reach 26,055–26,484 by August, with a gradual climb to 28,400 by November 2025, driven by economic growth and sectoral strength. However, these are speculative and depend on sustained bullish momentum. Disclaimer -- This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading. #Boost and comment will be highly appreciated