MARKETS week ahead: July 6 – 12

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MARKETS week ahead: July 6 – 12Crypto Total Market Cap, $CRYPTOCAP:TOTALXBTFXLast week in the news The US jobs data posted during the previous week shaped investors sentiment. The jobs market seems resilient, making market participants diminish any expectations that the Fed might cut interest rates at July's FOMC meeting. In this sense, the 10Y Treasury yields adjusted from level of 4,2% to close the week at 4,33%. On the opposite side, strong jobs figures pushed the S&P 500 to reach all time highest levels for the last five days, closing the week at the level of 6.279. Weakening of the US Dollar supported the price of gold to end the week higher, at the level of $3.333. The crypto market had a volatile week, with BTC reaching the level of $110K, still, ending it at levels above the $108K. This week was marked with US jobs data, exposing its further resilience. The JOLTs job openings ended May at 7.769M, which was higher from market anticipation of 7,3M. The posted unemployment rate for June was standing at 4,1%, slightly lower from 4,2% posted for the previous month. The data which mostly impacted market sentiment were related to the Non-farm Payrolls for June, with 147K new jobs. It was higher from the market estimate of 110K for the same period. A strong jobs market made an impact on investors to rethink the potential Fed's rate cut at July's FOMC meeting. Current expectations for September's rate cut were increased. Trump's “big, beautiful bill”, proposing significant tax cuts, passed the U.S. Senate during the previous week, and is now back in the House for final approval. Analysts are still concerned regarding its effects on the US level of debt in the next 10 years period, currently estimating further broadening of the US debt by $3,7 trillion. Although the last two weeks passed with increased optimism on US equity markets, still both analysts and investors are closely watching developments with trade tariffs deals by the US Administration. Last week, the US made a deal with Vietnam of 20% tariffs for imports from Vietnam, while the US goods will be tariff-free. However, the next week will be important from the perspective of the end of a 90-days delayed tariffs period, which the US Administration left for the majority of countries around the world, leaving them the space for negotiations. Talks with major US trade partners are still ongoing, including China, European Union, Japan and India. News is reporting that the ECB will most likely wait for the September meeting to further cut interest rates on Euro. The reason for such expectations are mentioned uncertainties regarding the trade agreement with the US Administration. Economists are also noting this year`s surge of Euro against US Dollar of 14%, which might add an additional burden on the EU economy in addition to trade tariffs. CRYPTO MARKET Another volatile week on the crypto market passed. The positive market sentiment was under influence of better than expected US jobs data posted for June. The BTC reached the level of $110K on Wednesday, but still, ending the week lower. Majority of other cons peaked during the week, but are still ending the week lower. On a weekly basis, there has been almost an equal number of gainers and losers among crypto coins. Total market capitalization gained 1% for the week, adding $24B to its total cap. Daily trading volumes remained relatively flat during the week, moving around $153B on a daily basis. Total crypto market capitalization from the beginning of this year currently stands at 2%, with a total funds inflow of $50B. The largest coin was moving the market during the previous week. BTC closed the week by 0,7% higher on a weekly basis, adding $15B to its total cap. This week ETH also managed to close it 2,7% higher, increasing its market cap by $7,9B. Market favourite Solana had a significant surge during the week, till the level of $159, however, it is ending the week above the $146, marking the weekly loss of 2,9%, or $2,3B outflow of funds. DOGE had a similar movement, but ending the week with a modest loss of 0,5%. ADA managed to sustain its weekly gains, ending it at 1,8% higher. Uniswap had a drop in value of 2,7% while Maker lost almost 5% in value. Although market prices of crypto coins had a relatively volatile week, still when it comes to circulating coins, the situation was much calmer. Stellar had the highest weekly decrease of the number of coins on the market , of 1%. Such withdrawals are not frequent with this coin. Filecoin traditionally is increasing the number of coins on the market, with this week's increase of 0,3%. Crypto futures market Crypto futures also reacted to a positive investor sentiment, where both BTC and ETH futures ended the week higher. BTC short term futures had a modest increase of some 0,7%, while the longer term ones closed the week higher by 2,6%. Futures maturing in December this year ended the week at the level of $113.750, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $120.395. Similar development was also with ETH futures, where short term ones closed the week by 2,9% higher, and longer term ones surged by more than 7% on a weekly basis. ETH futures maturing in December 2025 were last traded at $2.689. Futures maturing in December 2026 closed the week at $2.894.