GOLD expected to rebound, key trends, jobs data GoldOANDA:XAUUSDXayah_tradingThis week, we have the facts that Trump has stirred up the market, Powell has not changed his stance. With the biggest data of the week, the US Non-Farm Payrolls, to be released, the price of XAUUSD is expected to rise again after a week of consolidation. Last Week in News After weeks of tariff-easing talks that sent U.S. stocks soaring, Wall Street has once again been caught up in the constant flux surrounding Trump’s trade regime. This week, a U.S. court also questioned the legality of the White House’s tariffs on global trading partners as the Trump administration ramps up its policy plans. Market sentiment took a turn for the worse on Friday following news about tariffs. US media reported that the White House plans to impose broader sanctions on some foreign technology industries. In addition, Trump said that starting next week, tariffs on imported steel will increase from 25% to 50%. In addition to the tariff headlines, traders also had to contend with weakening US economic data. US consumer spending slowed after recording its strongest month of growth since early 2023 in April. Here are the events markets will focus on in the new week • Next week, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and several members of the board and voting members will speak. • Trump met with Powell for the first time in his second term, and Powell continued to emphasize the independence of monetary policy. The US core PCE inflation rate was 2.1% year-on-year in April, slightly below the expected 2.2%. While that bolsters the case for a rate cut, Fed officials have reiterated their patient stance. Minutes from the May FOMC meeting confirmed that policymakers considered the current economic situation sufficient to delay policy action. Despite the weakening sentiment, traders are still betting on a September rate cut from the Federal Reserve. Key Data: Non-farm data in focus this week The focus of next week’s data will be non-farm payrolls on Friday. The pace of hiring in the US is likely to have slowed in May as households became more cautious, businesses reconsidered investment plans amid shifting trade policies and employers focused on controlling costs. Economists are forecasting a gain of 125,000 in May, according to the median in a Bloomberg survey, after job gains beat expectations in March and April. That would keep the average gain over the past three months at a solid 162,000. The unemployment rate remains at 4.2%. Fed officials are also waiting for clarity on how trade and tax policies will affect the economy and inflation, so they are likely to be cautious about the labor market report. Technical Outlook Analysis XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has been mostly sideways despite the volatility over the past week. The sharpest drop saw gold test the $3,250 support level before recovering to close the week around the confluence of the EMA21 and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement. On the big picture, gold is still technically bullish with the channel as the main trend, while the near-term supports are the $3,250 level followed by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement. A sustained move above $3,300 would be viewed as a positive factor going forward. On the momentum front, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50, which in this case acts as momentum support and is still well away from overbought territory so there is still room for upside. The weekly target is the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level in the short term, rather than the raw price point of $3,400. As long as gold remains within the channel, its main technical trend is bullish, and any declines that do not take gold below the channel should be considered short-term corrections rather than a specific trend. Next week, the technical bullish outlook for gold will be focused again on the following positions. Support: $3,250 – $3,228 Resistance: $3,371 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3337 - 3335⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3341 →Take Profit 1 3329 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3323 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3246 - 3248⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3242 →Take Profit 1 3254 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3260