GBPCAD Rejection Signals Possible Drop

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GBPCAD Rejection Signals Possible DropGBP/CADOANDA:GBPCADDNP-FXThe GBPCAD pair is currently displaying a textbook technical structure within a long-term ascending parallel channel that has been in place since late 2022. Price action has consistently respected both the upper resistance and lower support boundaries of this channel, making it a reliable framework for anticipating future movement. Recently, the pair attempted to break above the upper boundary but was met with strong resistance around the 1.8680-1.8700 level, forming a clear rejection that aligns with multiple previous turning points (marked by red arrows). This rejection coincides with a horizontal resistance level that has been tested several times, suggesting a significant barrier for buyers. Following this rejection, the price is now beginning to show signs of weakness and a potential bearish shift. If the market breaks below the minor rising trendline and the horizontal support zone around 1.8145, it could confirm a near-term trend reversal. In that scenario, the next logical support lies near the midline of the channel around 1.8000, a level that has previously acted as dynamic support. A deeper correction could push the pair toward the lower boundary of the channel in the 1.7700-1.7800 region, where long-term buyers may re-enter. This analysis is based on the principles of trend channel theory and price action behavior at key support and resistance zones. The repeated failure to break above channel resistance, combined with the formation of a potential lower high, supports the idea of a corrective move. Traders considering a short position may look to enter around 1.8650-1.8680 with confirmation, targeting 1.8145 as the first support, followed by 1.8000 and possibly 1.7700. A daily close above 1.8720 would invalidate the bearish outlook and indicate a potential breakout scenario. As always, proper risk management and confirmation through price structure or candlestick patterns are essential before initiating any trade based on this setup.