':"";if(a){var r=n.promos.showYahooLogo?"":"yns-no-logo";a=a.replace("{notifOnboardBtnLabel}",n.promos.notifOnboardBtnLabel).replace("{notifOnboardMsg}",n.promos.notifOnboardMsg).replace("{subscriptionTopic}",n.promos.subscriptionTopic).replace("{noLogoClass}",r).replace("{promoLogo}",n.promos.promoLogo)}var s=t.newCount>n.panel.maxCount?t.newCount:"",c=n.panel.notificationCenterPath,l=c?"":P,u=n.panel.headerMsg?"":" "+P,d=c?R:"",p=void 0;t.count?p=t.markup:p='{emptyPanelMsg}'.replace("{emptyPanelMsg}",n.panel.emptyPanelMsg);return e=e.replace("{notifMarkup}",p).replace("{promoMarkup}",a).replace("{hideClass}",l).replace("{notifCenterLink}",c).replace("{paddingClass}",d).replace("{headerMsg}",n.panel.headerMsg).replace("{hideHeaderClass}",u).replace(/{notificationCenterNavMsg}/g,n.panel.notificationCenterNavMsg).replace(/{newCount}/g,s)}},{key:"render",value:function(e,t){var n=this;if(n._panelNode){var o=void 0,i=n._panelNode,a=void 0,r=void 0;switch(e){case"expanded_panel":o='{promoMarkup}{notifMarkup}',r=n._store.getNotifications(),a=n._generatePanelMarkup(o,r),i.innerHTML=a;break;case"error_panel":a=(o='{errorMsg}').replace("{errorMsg}",n._config.panel.errorMsg),i.innerHTML=a}t&&t()}else t&&t(new Error("No panel parent"))}},{key:"createPanelParentNode",value:function(e){e&&(e.innerHTML='',this._panelNode=document.getElementById(D))}},{key:"updateBadgeNode",value:function(e){if(e){var t=this._store.getNotifications().newCount,n=this._config.badge.maxCount;if(t){var o=t>n?n+"+":t;e.innerHTML=o}else e.innerHTML=""}}},{key:"addStyles",value:function(e){if(e&&"undefined"!=typeof window){var t=document.getElementById(this._config.panel.styleTagId);t||((t=document.createElement("style")).type="text/css",t.id=this._config.panel.styleTagId,t.innerText=e,document.head.appendChild(t))}}}]),e}(),U=function(){function e(t,n,o){L(this,e);var i=this;i._store=n,i._view=o,i._config=t;var a=i._config.panel;i._panelParentNode=document.querySelector(a.parentSelector),i._badgeNode=i._config.badge.selector&&document.querySelector(i._config.badge.selector),i._indicatorNode=a.indicatorSelector&&document.querySelector(a.indicatorSelector)}return E(e,[{key:"createPanelParentNode",value:function(){this._view.createPanelParentNode(this._panelParentNode),this._notifPanelNode=document.getElementById(D)}},{key:"refreshPanelNode",value:function(e,t){var n=this;A(n._notifPanelNode,B),n._store.fetchNotifications(e,(function(e,o){var i=window.wafer&&window.wafer.base;i&&i.destroy(n._notifPanelNode),e?n._notifPanelNode.innerHTML||(n._view.render("error_panel"),A(n._notifPanelNode,B)):(n._view.render("expanded_panel"),n._view.updateBadgeNode(n._badgeNode),n._showBadge(),n._showIndicator(),n._view.addStyles(o.css)),M(n._notifPanelNode,B),i&&i.sync(n._notifPanelNode.parentNode),t&&t(e,o)}))}},{key:"resetBadge",value:function(){var e=this;e._store.resetNewCount(),e._view.updateBadgeNode(e._badgeNode),A(e._badgeNode,e._config.badge.hideClass)}},{key:"_showIndicator",value:function(){this._indicatorNode&&(this._store.getNotifications().newCount?A(this._indicatorNode,this._config.panel.indicatorClass):M(this._indicatorNode,this._config.panel.indicatorClass))}},{key:"_showBadge",value:function(){var e=this;e._store.getNotifications().newCount?M(e._badgeNode,e._config.badge.hideClass):A(e._badgeNode,e._config.badge.hideClass)}}]),e}(),j={promos:{eligibleBodyClass:"display-push-promos",enableNotifOnboard:!0,bypassEligibleClassCheck:!1,notifOnboardBtnLabel:"Notify Me",notifOnboardMsg:"Get alerts for breaking news and top stories",promoLogo:"https://s.yimg.com/cv/apiv2/ae/news/circle_bell.png",showYahooLogo:!0,subscriptionTopic:"gondor_homerun_news"},badge:{hideClass:"",maxCount:5,selector:""},panel:{emptyPanelMsg:"You have no new notifications.",errorMsg:"",headerMsg:"Notifications",imageTag:"img:40x40|2|80",indicatorClass:"yns-indicator",indicatorSelector:null,maxCount:6,notificationCenterNavMsg:"View all {newCount} notifications",notificationCenterPath:"",notificationTypes:"",parentSelector:null,styleTagId:"notificationStyles",theme:"default"},service:{attemptCount:1,attemptDelay:2,url:null,resetUrl:null,isRMP:!1,responseType:"json",timeout:1500}},Y={NotificationClient:function(){function e(t){L(this,e);var n=this;n.config=n._parseConfig(t),n._validateRequiredConfigs()&&(n._request=new C(n.config),n._store=new O(n.config,n._request),n._view=new H(n.config,n._store),n._panelController=new U(n.config,n._store,n._view),n._panelController.createPanelParentNode(),n._assignHelperMethods())}return E(e,[{key:"_parseConfig",value:function(e){var t={};for(var n in N(t,j),t)if(t.hasOwnProperty(n)){var o=t[n],i=e[n];"object"===(void 0===o?"undefined":_(o))?N(o,i):t[n]=e[n]}return t}},{key:"_validateRequiredConfigs",value:function(){var e=this.config;return!(!e.panel.parentSelector||!e.service.url)}},{key:"_assignHelperMethods",value:function(){var e=this;e.helpers={refreshPanelNode:e._panelController.refreshPanelNode.bind(e._panelController),resetBadge:e._panelController.resetBadge.bind(e._panelController),resetIndicator:function(){M(e._panelController._indicatorNode,e.config.panel.indicatorClass)}}}}]),e}()},F="lnct",z=function(){function e(){var e,t;this.personalized=!1,this.ybarElem=document.getElementById("ybar"),this.partnerClasses=null===(t=null===(e=this.ybarElem)||void 0===e?void 0:e.className)||void 0===t?void 0:t.match(/ybar-variant-([a-z]*)/),this.client=new Y.NotificationClient(this.getConfig())}return e.prototype.refreshPanel=function(){var e,t,n,o=this,i={lastUpdate:this.getTimeStamp()||this.setTimeStamp(),loadInHpViewer:!0,includePersonalized:this.personalized},a=(null===(e=window.YAHOO)||void 0===e?void 0:e.context)||(null===(t=window.Af)||void 0===t?void 0:t.context)||{};return a.region&&a.lang&&(i.lang=a.lang,i.region=a.region),(null===(n=this.partnerClasses)||void 0===n?void 0:n.length)&&(i.partner=this.partnerClasses[1]),new Promise((function(e,t){o.client.helpers.refreshPanelNode({matrixParams:i},(function(n,o){n&&(c("Notification refresh error:",n),t(n)),e(o)}))}))},e.prototype.resetBadge=function(){this.client.helpers.resetBadge(),this.setTimeStamp()},e.prototype.getConfig=function(){var e,t,n,o,i,a=document.getElementById("notification-container"),r=null===(e=null==a?void 0:a.dataset)||void 0===e?void 0:e.config;if(I&&!r)return I;var s={promos:{eligibleBodyClass:"display-push-promos",enableNotifOnboard:!0},badge:{selector:"#notif-badge",hideClass:"ybar-notification-hidden"},panel:{emptyPanelMsg:"You have no new notifications.",errorMsg:"Please check back later.",headerMsg:"Notifications",maxCount:5,parentSelector:"#ybarNotificationBody",notificationTypes:"breakingNews"},service:{url:"/tdv2_fp/api/resource/NotificationHistory.getHistory",isRMP:!1}},l={};if(r){"att"===(null===(t=this.partnerClasses)||void 0===t?void 0:t[1])&&(s.promos.showYahooLogo=!1);try{var u=JSON.parse(r);l=m({},u),this.personalized=1===u.personalize}catch(e){c("Notifications config parsing error",e)}a&&delete a.dataset.config}return I=this.mergeConfigs(s,l),(null===(n=this.partnerClasses)||void 0===n?void 0:n.length)&&"yahoo"!==(null===(o=this.partnerClasses)||void 0===o?void 0:o[1])&&(null===(i=I.promos)||void 0===i?void 0:i.subscriptionTopic)&&delete I.promos.subscriptionTopic,I},e.prototype.mergeConfigs=function(e,t){var n=m({},e);for(var o in e)n[o]=m(m({},e[o]),t[o]);return n},e.prototype.getTimeStamp=function(){var e;return null===(e=window.localStorage)||void 0===e?void 0:e.getItem(F)},e.prototype.setTimeStamp=function(){var e,t=""+Math.floor((new Date).getTime()/1e3);return null===(e=window.localStorage)||void 0===e||e.setItem(F,t),t},e}(),W=new z,G=function(){return W},J="",K=[],V=function(){},$=function(){window.removeEventListener("beforeunload",$),""!==J&&c("Rapid not found on page",new Error(J))},X=null,Z=function(){return null===X&&(X=document.getElementById("ybar")),X},Q=function(){var e=0,t=window.YAHOO;if(q)return q;if(t)if(t.i13n)if(t.i13n.__RAPID_INSTANCES__)if(t.i13n.__RAPID_INSTANCES__.length0)for(var n=0;n0){if(q.addModules(i,!1,o),K.length>0)for(e=0;e40959)&&(i19903)&&(i55215))return!1}return!0},fe={navBeaconFired:!1},ve=["ready","navigation"],ye=function(){function e(e){var t=this;this.triggerEvent=r,this.addEventListener=s,this.logError=c,this.logPerformance=l,this.getConfig=u,this.getPerformanceMetrics=d,this.rapidRefresh=te,this.state=m({},fe),this.modules=e,this.userEmail="",window.YBAR&&(ve.forEach((function(e){var n="on".concat(e),o=window.YBAR[n];o&&(t[n]=o)})),window.YBAR.wssid&&(this.wssid=window.YBAR.wssid),window.YBAR.appid&&(this.appid=window.YBAR.appid)),ve.forEach((function(e){var n="on".concat(e);s(e,(function(){for(var o,i=[],a=0;a0,o=_.scrollTope.pageOffset,a=_.scrollTop>E+h,r=_.scrollTop a"),o=document.querySelector("#ybar-navigation-item-mail > a > span");null!==t&&null!==n&&(new Pt).fetchCount().then((function(t){o&&t>0&&(o.textContent="("+(t>99?"99+":t)+")",e.onDestroy((function(){o.textContent=""})))})).catch((function(){}))},Pn=!1,Rn=-1,Hn=function(e,t,n){var o,i,a,r=-1,s=0;if(e.ybarNav&&e.navList){var c=window.getComputedStyle(e.ybarNav),l=parseInt(c.width,10)-parseInt(c.paddingLeft,10)-parseInt(c.paddingRight,10),u=61,d=e.navigationPlacement();if(d)u+=d.getBoundingClientRect().width;if(Cn)u+=Cn.getBoundingClientRect().width;for(var p=window.getComputedStyle(e.navList),m=parseInt(p.gap,10)||0,f=0;fg&&(f!==e.navItems.length-1||s+h>g||e.moreMenuDropdown&&e.moreMenuDropdown.hasChildNodes()&&Rn10?e.moreMenuDropdown.classList.add(e.longListClass):null!==e.moreMenuDropdown&&e.moreMenuDropdown.classList.remove(e.longListClass))}},Un=function(e,t){var n,o=function(e,n){var o;e.classList.contains(t.moreMenuNavItemClass)&&(null===(o=t.moreMenuMainFocusItem)||void 0===o||o.setAttribute("aria-expanded",n))},i=function(){t.isTablet&&(document.body.classList.remove("ybar-nav-open"),document.body.removeEventListener("touchend",u))},a=function(n){var i=n.delegateTarget;i&&i.classList.contains(t.dropdownWrapperClass)&&(i.classList.contains(t.dropdownOpenClass)||(e.triggerEvent("nav:dropdown:show",{event:n}),t.isTablet&&(document.body.classList.add("ybar-nav-open"),document.body.addEventListener("touchend",u)),i.classList.add(t.dropdownOpenClass),o(i,"true")))},r=function(e){var n=e.delegateTarget;if(null==n?void 0:n.classList.contains(t.navigationDropdownListClass)){var a=n.parentElement;a&&!a.contains(e.relatedTarget)&&a.classList.contains(t.dropdownWrapperClass)&&(i(),a.classList.remove(t.dropdownOpenClass),o(a,"false"))}else if(null==n?void 0:n.classList.contains(t.dropdownOpenClass)){if(t.isTablet&&e instanceof FocusEvent)return;var r=e.target;Cn&&(!Cn||Cn.contains(r)&&"focusout"!==e.type)||(i(),n.classList.remove(t.dropdownOpenClass),o(n,"false"))}},s=Fe(".".concat(t.dropdownWrapperClass),"focusin",a),c=Fe(".".concat(t.dropdownWrapperClass,", .").concat(t.navigationDropdownListClass),"focusout",r),l=document.getElementById("ybar-navigation"),u=function(e){var n=null==e?void 0:e.target;t.isTablet&&e&&e.target&&e.target instanceof HTMLElement&&(e.target.classList.contains(t.dropdownOpenClass)||e.target.closest(".".concat(t.dropdownOpenClass)))||document.body.classList.contains("ybar-nav-open")&&!["svg","path"].includes(n.tagName)&&(null==l||l.querySelectorAll(".".concat(t.dropdownOpenClass)).forEach((function(e){e.classList.remove(t.dropdownOpenClass)})),i())};e.addEventListener("nav:closeOverflowMenu",(function(){u()}));var d=Fe(".".concat(t.dropdownWrapperClass),"touchstart",(function(e){if(t.isTablet){var n=e.delegateTarget;n&&n.classList.contains(t.dropdownOpenClass)?r(e):(u(e),a(e))}})),p=null===(n=t.ybarNav)||void 0===n?void 0:n.querySelectorAll(".".concat(In));null==p||p.forEach((function(t){var n=t.parentNode;n&&null!==document.querySelector(".ybar-ytheme-crunch")&&e.addElementListener(n,"mouseenter",(function(t){e.triggerEvent("nav:dropdown:show",{event:t})}))})),e.onDestroy((function(){var e;d.destroy(),s.destroy(),c.destroy(),h([],y(null===(e=t.ybarNav)||void 0===e?void 0:e.querySelectorAll(".".concat(t.dropdownOpenClass))),!1).forEach((function(e){e.classList.remove(t.dropdownOpenClass);var n=document.activeElement;(function(e,t){var n=!1;if(!e||!t)return n;if("function"==typeof e.contains)n=e.contains(t);else for(var o=t;o;){if(o===e){n=!0;break}o=o.parentElement}return n})(t.ybarNav,n)&&setTimeout((function(){null==n||n.blur()}),1)}))}))},jn=function(e,t,n,o){for(var i=t||window.location.pathname,a=n||window.location.hostname,r=(o||{}).setParentFocus,s=void 0!==r&&r,c=h([],y(e.topLevelNavLinks),!1),l=null,u=null,d=0;d li"),dropdownClass:t.dropdownWrapperClass,enableMoreMenu:i,moreMenuNavElm:t.moreMenuMainFocusItem,isUserAccountNavigation:!1});!function(e,t){var n,o;h([],y(null===(n=t.ybarNav)||void 0===n?void 0:n.querySelectorAll(".".concat(t.dropdownOpenClass))),!1).forEach((function(e){return e.classList.remove(t.dropdownOpenClass)}));var i=e.getConfig();Cn=(null===(o=i.bucketConfig)||void 0===o?void 0:o.enable_mid_nav_placement)?document.getElementById("ybar-mid-nav-placement"):void 0,"news"===i.property?kn=-12:(kn="finance"!==i.property&&"sports"!==i.property&&t.shiftMoreMenuEnabled?-24:-16,"zh-Hant-HK"!==i.locale&&"zh-Hant-TW"!==i.locale||(kn=-20));var a=t.isTablet?"touchstart":"mouseover",r=Fe(".".concat(t.dropdownWrapperClass,", .").concat(t.navigationDropdownListClass),a,(function(n){if(window||document){var o=window.innerWidth||document.documentElement.clientWidth,a=n.delegateTarget;if(a&&-1!=a.className.indexOf(t.dropdownWrapperClass)&&(a=a.querySelector(".".concat(t.navigationDropdownListClass))),a){a.style.removeProperty("left");var r=a.getBoundingClientRect(),s=Math.trunc(r.right),c=parseInt(window.getComputedStyle(a).marginLeft,10)+o-s;if(s>o)return"sports"!==i.property?void(a.style.marginLeft=c+"px"):void(a.style.right="0px");if(parseInt(a.style.marginLeft)0?a.style.removeProperty("margin-left"):a.style.marginLeft=c+"px":(a.style.removeProperty("margin-left"),a.style.marginLeft=kn+"px"),t.isTablet){var l=a.previousElementSibling;if(Cn&&Cn.contains(a));else if(l){var u=l.getBoundingClientRect(),d=Math.trunc(u.left);a.style.left=d+"px"}}}}else{var p=new Error("Dropdown could not be initialized");e.logError("Error:",p)}}));e.onDestroy((function(){r.destroy()}))}(e,t),Dn(e),e.addElementListener(document,"DOMContentLoaded",(function(){Dn(e)})),Un(e,t);var r=e.getConfig().bucketConfig,s=void 0===r?{}:r,c=s.enableDynamicNavfocus,l=void 0!==c&&c,u=s.enableFuzzyMatching;if(l&&(Pn=void 0!==u&&u,jn(t)),e.addEventListener("nav:setFocus",(function(e){var n=e.detail,o=void 0===n?{}:n,i=o.hostname,a=void 0===i?window.location.hostname:i,r=o.pathname,s=void 0===r?window.location.pathname:r,c=o.options;jn(t,s,a,void 0===c?{}:c)})),i){var d=document.createElement("style");d.title="ybar_nav_interim",document.head.appendChild(d);var p=Fe("#ybar-nav-more-menu ul a","click",(function(t){e.triggerEvent("navigation",{event:t})}));e.addEventListener("nav:resize",(function(){Hn(t,d,a)})),Hn(t,d,a);var m=e.getConfig();if("complete"===document.readyState)Yn(e,t,d,a);else{var f="load";("news"===m.property&&("zh-Hant-TW"===m.locale||"zh-Hant-HK"===m.locale)||"finance"===m.property&&"zh-Hant-TW"===m.locale)&&(f="DOMContentLoaded"),e.addElementListener(window,f,(function(){Yn(e,t,d,a)}))}e.addElementListener(window,"resize",(function(){Hn(t,d,a)})),e.onDestroy((function(){var e=d.parentNode;null==e||e.removeChild(d),p.destroy()}))}Wn(e,t)},zn=function(e,t){var n=["zh-Hant-TW","zh-Hant-HK"].includes(e.getConfig().locale);return t.isFuji2&&n},Wn=function(e,t){if(t.isNavHidden){var n=!1;e.addElementListener(document,"DOMContentLoaded",(function(n){t.isNavHidden()&&e.triggerEvent("l2:hide",{event:n})})),e.addElementListener(window,"resize",(function(o){!n&&t.isNavHidden()&&e.triggerEvent("l2:hide",{event:o}),n=t.isNavHidden()}))}},Gn="#ybar-nav-more-menu";be("ybar-mod-navigation",(function(e){var t,n=e.getConfig(),o={dropdownWrapperClass:An,isFuji2:null!==document.querySelector(".ybar-ytheme-fuji2")||null!==document.querySelector(".ybar-ytheme-crunch"),isTablet:null!==document.querySelector(".tablet")||"tablet"===n.device||matchMedia("(hover: none)").matches,longListClass:Mn,moreMenuDropdown:document.querySelector("".concat(Gn," ul")),moreMenuNavItem:document.querySelector(Gn),moreMenuNavLinksSelector:"".concat(Gn," ul a"),moreMenuMainFocusItem:document.querySelector("".concat(Gn," > button")),moreMenuNavItemClass:Bn,navigationDropdownItemClass:Nn,navigationDropdownListClass:In,navItems:document.querySelectorAll("ul.".concat(On," li.").concat(Tn)),topLevelNavLinks:document.querySelectorAll("li.".concat(Tn," > a")),navLinks:document.querySelectorAll(".ybar-mod-navigation a"),navList:document.querySelector(".ybar-mod-navigation ul"),shiftMoreMenuEnabled:document.querySelector(".ybar-shift-more-menu"),ybarNav:document.getElementById("ybar-navigation"),ybarNavigationItemClass:Tn,dropdownOpenClass:Sn,hasNavPlacement:document.getElementById("ybar-nav-placement"),marginOffset:function(e){var t=window.getComputedStyle(e),o=parseInt(t.marginLeft,10)+parseInt(t.marginRight,10);return"sports"===n.property?parseInt(t.marginRight):"finance"===n.property&&"crunch"===n.ytheme?(o-=1.8)>5?o:5:"crunch"===n.ytheme?o:0},navigationPlacement:function(){return t||(t=document.getElementById("ybar-nav-placement")),t},isNavHidden:function(){var e=!1;return"finance"===n.property&&"crunch"===n.ytheme&&document.documentElement.clientWidth=5||n.initialized?clearInterval(a):(void 0!==n.isNotificationsSupported()&&n.init(),i++)}),100)}return e.prototype.show=function(e){var t;this.initialized&&(this.historyEnabled&&!e||(document.body.classList.add(Qn),null===(t=this.a11yMenu)||void 0===t||t.setAttribute("aria-expanded","true"),this.lastSeen=(new Date).getTime()))},e.prototype.hide=function(){var e;this.initialized&&(this.historyEnabled&&document.body.classList.remove(eo),document.body.classList.remove(Qn),null===(e=this.a11yMenu)||void 0===e||e.setAttribute("aria-expanded","false"))},Object.defineProperty(e.prototype,"lastSeen",{get:function(){return this.state.lastSeen},set:function(e){this.state.lastSeen=e,this.setLocalStorage()},enumerable:!1,configurable:!0}),Object.defineProperty(e.prototype,"manuallyClosed",{get:function(){return this.state.manuallyClosed},set:function(e){this.state.manuallyClosed=!!e,this.setLocalStorage()},enumerable:!1,configurable:!0}),e.prototype.init=function(){this.isNotificationsSupported()&&this.isNotificationPermissionDefault()&&(this.historyEnabled||document.body.classList.add(eo),this.addEventListeners(),this.initialized=!0,this.hasSeenTooltipIn(this.manuallyClosed?6048e5:Zn)||(document.body.classList.add(eo),this.show(!0)))},e.prototype.addEventListeners=function(){var e=this;this.ybar.addElementListener(this.container.getElementsByClassName(to)[0],"click",(function(){e.hide(),e.manuallyClosed=!0}))},e.prototype.isNotificationsSupported=function(){var e;return null===(e=null===window||void 0===window?void 0:window.subscriptionHelperInstance)||void 0===e?void 0:e.checkIsSupportedBrowser()},e.prototype.isNotificationPermissionDefault=function(){var e;return"default"===(null===(e=window.Notification)||void 0===e?void 0:e.permission)},e.prototype.hasSeenTooltipIn=function(e){if(!this.lastSeen)return!1;var t=new Date(this.lastSeen),n=new Date;return t.getTime()+e>n.getTime()},e.prototype.setLocalStorage=function(){var e;null===(e=window.localStorage)||void 0===e||e.setItem(Xn,JSON.stringify(this.state))},e.prototype.getLocalStorage=function(){var e,t,n=null===(e=window.localStorage)||void 0===e?void 0:e.getItem(Xn);if(null===n)return null;try{return JSON.parse(n)}catch(e){return null===(t=window.localStorage)||void 0===t||t.removeItem(Xn),null}},e}(),io=-1,ao={0:0,1:1,9:9,99:99,150:150},ro=function(e,t){var n,o=t.isUH3,i=t.notifMenu,a=t.notifMenuOpener,r=t.notifDropdown,s=t.notifBadge,c=t.notifContainer,l=t.notifLabel;t.tooltipContainer&&(n=new oo(e,t.tooltipContainer));var u=G(),d=function(){i&&(i.checked=!1),null==r||r.classList.remove("ybarMenuOpen")},p=function(){var t;e.triggerEvent("close-all-menus"),!!document.querySelector(".display-push-promos 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said.Investors are betting that the US economy will continue to grow and they're behaving as if there's "no recession risk whatsoever," market research firm The Leuthold Group wrote in a note last week.That conclusion is based on a key indicator, the S&P 500 Cyclical/Defensive Ratio, which compares the most economically sensitive sectors, like consumer discretionary, industrials, and materials, to more stable areas of the market such as consumer staples, healthcare, and utilities.The Leuthold Group calculates this metric based on price to earnings, price to cash flow, price to sales, and price to book ratios.Cyclical stocks typically trade at a discount during recessions because their earnings are more vulnerable to economic slowdowns. Investors, meanwhile, pay a relative premium for the safety of defensive stocks with more inelastic demand.In May, this ratio hit an all-time high of 1.19, indicating a 19% premium for cyclical stocks relative to defensive shares. This isn't an anomaly, as the ratio has held above 1.05 — placing it in the top 10% of historical readings — for 13 consecutive months.The Leuthold GroupRecession fears have come down since reaching a fever pitch in April. After the announcement of a 90-day tariff pause and trade negotiations with China, the odds of a recession have fallen from 66% to 28% on prediction market Polymarket.However, several Wall Street strategists are still concerned, as a 28% chance of recession is still higher than the long-term average of around 15%. Torsten Sløk, chief economist at Apollo, and Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan, have been ringing the bell on stagflation concerns.According to The Leuthold Group, a 28% chance of recession is still far too high based on what the market is pricing in. Ahead of past recessions — including 2000, 2008, and 2020 — cyclical sectors were trading at steep discounts to their more stable counterparts.The average valuation gap at pre-recession market peaks was about 25% in favor of defensives. During these recessions, the average valuation gap increased to 38%."Much of the recession 'discount' in the comparative valuations of Cyclicals occurred during the twelve months (or earlier) preceding the pre-recession stock market peak. Today, that process does not appear to have begun," the firm wrote.Terms and Privacy PolicyPrivacy & Cookie SettingsMore InfoS&P 5006,000.36 +61.06 (+1.03%)Dow 3042,762.87 +443.17 (+1.05%)Nasdaq19,529.95 +231.55 (+1.20%)Russell 20002,132.25 +34.90 (+1.66%)VIX16.77 -1.71 (-9.25%)Gold3,331.00 -44.10 (-1.31%)PortfolioSign in to access your portfolioSign inTop gainersRXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 5.49 +0.92 (+20.13%)MANU Manchester United plc 16.41 +2.60 (+18.83%)QXO QXO, Inc. 19.00 +2.25 (+13.43%)QBTS D-Wave Quantum Inc. 18.62 +2.15 (+13.05%)LMND Lemonade, Inc. 39.88 +4.12 (+11.52%)Top losersLULU lululemon athletica inc. 265.27 -65.51 (-19.80%)DOCU DocuSign, Inc. 75.28 -17.62 (-18.97%)BRZE Braze, Inc. 29.73 -6.37 (-17.65%)ORLA Orla Mining Ltd. 11.11 -1.24 (-10.04%)ABM ABM Industries Incorporated 46.61 -4.65 (-9.07%)Most activeAPLD Applied Digital Corporation 13.86 +1.09 (+8.54%)TSLA Tesla, Inc. 295.14 +10.44 (+3.67%)NVDA NVIDIA Corporation 141.72 +1.73 (+1.24%)LCID Lucid Group, Inc. 2.1500 +0.0200 (+0.94%)F Ford Motor Company 10.26 +0.16 (+1.58%)Earnings eventsTrending tickersXRP-USD XRP USD 2.28 +0.11 (+5.03%)BTC-USD Bitcoin USD 106,154.56 +697.03 (+0.66%)STLA Stellantis N.V. 9.87 +0.19 (+1.96%)XRP-CAD XRP CAD 3.13 +0.15 (+5.03%)SCAI.PVT Scale AI 16.61 0.00 (0.00%)Top economic events