Detailed analysis of the BTC/USD 4H chart

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Detailed analysis of the BTC/USD 4H chartBitcoin all time history indexINDEX:BTCUSDcryptodailyuk🔍1. Chart Context Interval: 4 hours (H4) Current price: Around 104,950 – 105,400 USD Range of recent candles: Strong rebound after a decline to around 101,000 USD. Lower indicator: Stochastic RSI 📊2. Price Action Analysis Market structure Main trend (recent days): Downtrend – from the peaks of ~114,000 USD a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows. Recent hours: Dynamic decline, followed by a quick, strong rebound from around 101,000 USD to ~105,000 USD. Key technical levels ✅Resistance: ~105,500–106,000 USD – local peak of the last rebound wave and earlier lows from the end of May. ~108,000 USD – next key level, with a bigger upward movement. Support: ~102,000–101,000 USD – bottom of the last movement, quick demand reaction, so-called “stop run” or false breakout. ~99,000 USD – psychological zone and important level in case of further declines. 📊3. Indicators Stochastic RSI (bottom of the chart) Currently: Stochastic RSI strongly overbought (above 80 points), both lines (blue and orange) are at the top and slightly curling. Conclusion: Possible short-term correction/slowdown in growth. Overbought Stochastic RSI often precedes pullbacks, especially when testing important resistances. 🧠4. Possible scenarios Bulls – Upside scenario: If BTC breaks above $105,500 with momentum, a move to $106,000–108,000 is possible (another resistance and short squeeze). The key will be the closing of the 4h candle above $105,500. Bears – Downside scenario: If the price does not break $105,500, profit taking and a pullback to $103,000–102,000 are possible. Strong defense of the $101,000–102,000 level by the bulls – if it is broken again, it threatens to deepen the declines even to $99,000. 📊5. Additional Notes Reduced Volatility: After such a strong bounce, there is often a period of “calmness” and consolidation. Potential Traps: False breakouts for 4h and sudden changes in direction (characteristic of the crypto market). 📌6. Warning Signals Stochastic RSI overbought – suggests to be cautious with long positions “on the top” without additional confirmation. Lack of continuation after a strong bounce – if the price does not “reach” higher in the next candles, the risk of a correction increases. 🧠Summary: Currently: BTC/USD in a short-term bounce phase after a strong decline. The price is approaching a significant resistance (~105,500 USD). Stochastic RSI shows overbought – possible correction or sideways movement. Direction for the next few hours: Reactions at USD 105,500 (resistance) and ~USD 102,000 (support) will be key.