PHM (PulteGroup) – High-Probability Swing Trade Setup

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PHM (PulteGroup) – High-Probability Swing Trade SetupPulteGroup, Inc.BATS:PHMmarjakuπŸ“ˆ Symbol: PHM (PulteGroup) ⏳ Timeframe: Daily Chart ⚑ Strategy: Swing Trade (2-4 Weeks) 🎯 Trade Setup Entry Zone: $114.00 (Daily SMA 20 + Psychological Support) Stop-Loss (SL): $104.80 (8% below entry, below SMA 50) Take-Profit (TP): $133.10 (+16.7% upside, Historical Resistance) Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.4 (Controlled Risk, High Reward) πŸ“Š Technical Analysis βœ… Trend: Strong Uptrend across all timeframes (Daily, 4H, 1H). Higher highs & higher lows confirmed. βœ… Key Support Levels: $114: Confluence of Daily SMA 20 + 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. $110: Daily SMA 50 (Institutional accumulation zone). βœ… Indicators: RSI (14): 69.51 (Neutral, no extreme overbought signal). MACD: Bullish crossover + Positive histogram expansion. Volume: Rising on bullish candles (Confirms buying interest). Key Levels: Resistance: $120 (Recent High), $133.10 (Final Target). Strong Support: $104.80 (Technical SL level). πŸ’° Fundamental Backing Strong Growth: +Strong Growth in Net Income (+18.5% YoY). Stable revenue in a resilient housing market. Healthy Balance Sheet: Minimal Debt (Score 10/10, Debt/Equity: 0.17). Fair Valuation (P/E 8.13 – Undervalued vs. sector). Catalyst: U.S. Housing Demand + Pro-Housing Policies. ⚑ Trade Execution Plan 1️⃣ Entry: $114.00 (Confirmed Technical Support Zone). 2️⃣ Stop-Loss: $104.80 (Protects against trend reversal). 3️⃣ Take-Profit: Scaled Exit – TP1: $120.00 (Sell 50% to lock in profits). TP2: $133.10 (Trailing stop to capture momentum). 4️⃣ Dynamic Management: Move SL to $110 after reaching $120 (Secures gains). πŸ“Œ Why PHM? Strong Sector: Housing market recovery with sustained demand. High Liquidity: Avg. Volume ~2.5M shares (No slippage risk). Technical + Fundamental Alignment: Uptrend + Strong Fundamentals = High Probability Trade. ⚠️ Risk Management Max Risk per Trade: 1-2% of capital. Avoid Key Events: Interest rate reports (Check economic calendar). 🎯 Final Call: BUY PHM at $114, SL $104.80, TP $133.10. πŸ”” Follow for More Swing Trade Setups! πŸ‘ Like if You Find This Helpful! #TradingView #Stocks #PHM #SwingTrading #RealEstate #TechnicalAnalysis (Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Do your own research.)