2025-07-07 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqMicro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index FuturesCME_MINI:MNQ1!priceactiontdsGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Market is ignoring every risk under the sun because the US government is too incompetent to follow-through with their excrement show. Beyond me that we are staying up high. Got no better comment for you today. current market cycle: bull trend key levels: 22500 - 23100 bull case: As long as bulls stay comfortably above 22500, they are fine and sideways is a very bullish correction for them. Bears are certainly not doing much, so bulls buy every dip and the chances of a new ath are there since we are very close to it. Invalidation is below 22500. bear case: Bears are just not doing enough. Markets have every reason to sell hard but they don’t. Unless we see big 1h bear bars closing on their low with follow-through selling, we can not expect lower prices. We need gaps but all bears get are huge reversal bars. Below 22500 things would look better for them but for now it’s very unlikely. It’s certainly a start that we closed a 4h bar below the 4h 20ema and below last week’s close but unless we make lower lows, it does not mean much. Invalidation is above 23100. short term: Neutral. medium-long term - Update from 2024-06-29: No change in plans. I expect 20000 to get hit over the next 3 months and maybe 19000 again. trade of the day: Scalping both sides since we had many alternating bars and prominent tails.