Every year there is a group of Disney World guests playing the same game with the Christmas party, and if you are reading this, you might be one of them.The strategy goes like this. Mickey’s Very Merry Christmas Party has 25 dates and a price range, so you wait. You watch. You figure the early November Mondays will sit there a while because nobody wants to fly to Orlando for Christmas in the first week of November. And when you finally book, you pay the floor price instead of the Christmas-week premium, and you feel pretty clever about it.It is a reasonable plan. It has worked for plenty of people in past years.It will not work this year.Disney has confirmed that November 9, November 13, and December 1 have sold out, bringing this season’s total to 8 of 25 nights sold out. And November 9 was the last night available at $189, the lowest price of the entire season.So all three of the cheapest nights are off the board.That is the bad news. The more useful news is that losing them costs you far less than it sounds, and there is a separate deadline coming that matters far more.What Just Sold OutThe three newest sellouts each had an Annual Passholder discount, which turns out to be the most important detail in the whole story.November 9 was a Monday and the second night of the party, priced at $189, or $179 for Annual Passholders. That matched the season’s lowest price, and with November 12 and November 17 already gone, it was the last night at that number.November 13 was a Friday at $194, or $184 for Passholders.December 1 was a Tuesday at $209, or $199 for Passholders, and the first December night with a Passholder discount to sell out.Those three join five earlier sellouts: November 12, November 17, November 24, December 20 and December 22.Seventeen dates are still available, with sellouts now stretching from as early as November 9 to as late as December 22.Credit: DisneyCorrecting a Common Read on ThisYou will see this framed as the cheap nights selling out while the expensive ones sit around waiting.That is not quite what happened.December 20 and December 22 both sold out already, and both were $229, the top price of the season. December 22 was the closest night to Christmas on the entire calendar.So both ends of the price range are burning. What is left is largely the middle.November 13 and December 1 make that clearer, since both sat mid-range. Demand is no longer concentrated at the bargain nights and the Christmas-week nights. It has spread into the dates in between.The Passholder Numbers Tell You What Happens NextThis is the most useful thing in the data, and it is worth understanding if you have any money on the line here.Five of the 11 Passholder-discount nights have sold out. Three of the other 14 nights have sold out.That is roughly 45 percent versus 21 percent. Passholder-discount nights are selling out at more than double the rate of everything else.There is a straightforward reason. Annual Passholders are local or regional; they are the most schedule-flexible buyers in the park; they are price-conscious by definition; and they know the calendar better than anyone. When a group like that moves early, it is not random. It is the best-informed segment of the audience acting first.Which makes Passholder-discount nights a leading indicator for the rest of the calendar.Six Passholder-discount dates remain:November: 8, 15, 19, 20, 29December: 3If you want one of those, treat it as the short list rather than the long one.Credit: DisneyWhat Losing the $189 Nights Actually Costs YouHere is the part that should take the sting out.The lowest remaining price is $194, or $184 for Passholders, available on November 15 and November 19.The cheapest night of the season was $189, or $179.So the floor moved by five dollars.Opening night on November 8 is still available at $199, or $189 for Passholders, which is $10 above the lowest price the party has ever offered.And children ages 3 to 9 save $10 per ticket on every single party date. For a family with two kids in that age range, the kids’ discount more than covers the entire increase in the price floor.Nobody Is Paying More for a Better PartyThis is the argument that gets lost in sellout coverage every year.All 25 nights carry the identical entertainment lineup. Mickey’s Once Upon a Christmastime Parade. Minnie’s Wonderful Christmastime Fireworks. Mickey’s Most Merriest Celebration. Guests can enter as early as 4 p.m., and the party itself begins at 7 p.m.Same show, every night.So the forty-dollar spread between $189 and $229 does not buy a bigger party. It buys a calendar slot. You are paying for proximity to Christmas and for a date that fits your work schedule, not for anything happening inside Magic Kingdom.Which means the $189 nights were never a better deal on the experience. They were a discount for being willing to visit in early November.Credit: DisneyThe Christmas Deadline That Actually MattersNow the part worth acting on.Last year, all 25 party dates sold out by November 19, and every one of them went at the same $229 top price.Today is October 16. Seventeen dates remain.If this season tracks anything close to last year’s pace, the question stops being which night is cheapest and becomes whether you get a night at all. That is a very different kind of decision, and it is roughly a month out.Disney notes that tickets have limited availability and may sell out before the event date. They can be purchased online or by phone.Where the Value Sits Right NowA few practical notes on the remaining calendar.Best price: November 15 and November 19 at $194, or $184 for Passholders.Opening night: November 8 at $199, or $189 for Passholders, which is the cheapest Passholder rate still standing.Last of the top tier: December 17 and December 18 are the only $229 nights left. If a party close to Christmas is the goal, those two are the end of that road.December Passholder option: December 3 is the only one remaining, at $214, or $204.How this season got here, briefly: Disney announced the 25 dates, the entertainment lineup and the $189 to $229 price range on June 24. Date-based tickets went on sale to all guests July 16. November 24 became the first sellout on September 29, and December 22 followed on October 3.Eight down. Seventeen to go. And if last year is any guide, not for very long.Source: Blog Mickey reporting and Walt Disney World ticket availability.The post Cheapest Mickey’s Very Merry Christmas Party Nights Now Sold Out at Disney World appeared first on Inside the Magic.