The Road to 4085 Starts at the OB | XAUUSD 20/10GoldOANDA:XAUUSDAdrian_NovaTraderGold has entered a strong bearish phase on the H1 timeframe after being rejected from the 4180–4185 Order Block (OB). The recent decline has pushed price toward the 4115–4130 Fair Value Gap (FVG), while the 4142–4147 Small OB now represents the nearest important resistance zone. For today's session, my primary expectation is that gold may attempt a corrective rebound before continuing lower. However, the key is how price reacts around the FVG and whether a retracement into the Small OB attracts renewed bearish pressure. The main downside area to monitor is 4078–4086, with SSL near 4067 as a deeper liquidity objective if support fails. 📍 KEY LEVELS & MARKET STRUCTURE Major Resistance / BSL: 4217–4225 Higher-Timeframe OB: 4180–4185 Main Retracement POI: 4142–4147 (Small OB) Immediate Reaction Zone: 4130–4135 Main FVG: 4115–4130 Intermediate Support: 4103–4108 Major Support Zone: 4078–4086 Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL): Around 4067 🔴 PRIMARY SCENARIO — RETRACEMENT THEN BEARISH CONTINUATION The first zone to monitor is the 4115–4130 FVG. Price is approaching this area following a sharp bearish displacement, so a temporary reaction or short-lived recovery remains possible. Nevertheless, a reaction from the FVG alone is not sufficient to confirm a bullish reversal. If price rebounds from the FVG, the first area to watch is 4125–4130. A weak recovery followed by a bearish lower-timeframe structure shift could indicate that sellers remain in control. If the rebound extends further, the more important retracement zone is 4142–4147, where the chart marks the Small OB. Main Trading Plan: Directional Bias: Bearish Preferred Entry Zone: 4142–4147 (Small OB) Confirmation: M15 bearish MSS/CHoCH or a clear bearish rejection within the zone Stop Loss: 4154 TP1: 4130 TP2: 4115 TP3: 4105 TP4: 4085 Extended Objective: 4067 (SSL) The preferred sequence is a rebound into 4142–4147, rejection from the Small OB, and renewed downside momentum through 4130 and 4115. If the FVG fails to hold, price may continue toward 4103–4108 before testing the major support zone at 4078–4086. The 4085 area is particularly important because it lies within the marked support zone. If price reaches this region, monitor whether it produces a strong bullish reaction or breaks down with continued bearish displacement. A decisive breakdown could expose SSL around 4067. Do not assume the full downside sequence will occur without interruption. Each level may produce a temporary reaction, and the entry remains conditional on confirmation. 🟡 SECONDARY SCENARIO — FVG REACTION AND DEEPER RECOVERY If gold finds demand within 4115–4130, price may recover toward 4135–4140 before testing the Small OB at 4142–4147. A sustained H1 recovery above 4147 would weaken the immediate bearish continuation thesis. If price establishes acceptance above this zone, the next important resistance becomes 4180–4185, where the larger OB overlaps with the descending trendline. A move toward 4180–4185 would represent a deeper recovery rather than confirmation that the entire bearish structure has reversed. Price would still need to overcome this resistance area and demonstrate sustained bullish structure before the broader outlook could change. If price moves directly above 4154 with strong bullish displacement, the proposed bearish trade plan is invalidated. Avoid forcing an entry and reassess the next structural reaction. 📊 TODAY'S PRICE ROADMAP Phase 1 — Current Reaction (4115–4130) Gold is approaching the marked FVG after a sharp decline. Watch for a temporary bounce, consolidation, or a direct breakdown. A strong bearish continuation below 4115 would indicate that the market is not offering the anticipated retracement yet. Phase 2 — Retracement (4130–4147) If price recovers, 4130–4135 is the first reaction area. Above that, 4142–4147 is the primary POI for a potential bearish continuation setup. The preferred confirmation is a rejection followed by a lower-timeframe bearish MSS/CHoCH. Phase 3 — Downside Expansion (4105–4085) After a confirmed rejection, the next areas to monitor are 4103–4108 and then 4078–4086. The latter is the major support zone marked on the chart and may attract a significant reaction. Phase 4 — Liquidity Extension (4067) If 4078–4086 breaks with strong bearish displacement and price fails to reclaim the zone, SSL near 4067 becomes the next downside reference. This remains an extended scenario, not a guaranteed destination. 🧭 MY BIAS My primary bias remains bearish while price stays below the 4142–4147 Small OB. The preferred setup is to wait for a retracement into this zone and require bearish confirmation before considering an entry. The immediate focus is the 4115–4130 FVG, followed by the 4142–4147 Small OB if a recovery develops. On the downside, 4105 is an intermediate reference, 4078–4086 is the main support objective, and 4067 is the deeper SSL level. If price never returns to the entry zone, there is no reason to chase the move. If bullish displacement invalidates the planned structure, the bearish setup must be reassessed rather than treated as permanently valid.