SMCI WEEKLY ANALYSISSuper Micro Computer, Inc.BATS:SMCIASHxBILLIONAIRE# **SMCI (Super Micro Computer) | Weekly ConfluX Analysis** ## **Executive Summary** SMCI has completed a higher-timeframe sell-side liquidity sweep inside a major weekly discount zone and is attempting to build a bullish reversal base. The primary objective is reclaiming successive internal buy-side liquidity levels before targeting the larger premium imbalance. **Bias:** **Bullish** ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ (8.7/10) --- ## **Market Narrative** * ✅ Weekly **SSL at Previous Month Low swept**. * ✅ Price reacted from a **Weekly Bullish IFVG/FVG** in discount. * ✅ Accumulation appears underway after liquidity engineering. * ⚠️ Multiple bearish Weekly FVGs remain overhead and may act as resistance during the advance. --- ## **Institutional Confluences** * ✔ Weekly Discount Array * ✔ Previous Month SSL Sweep * ✔ Weekly Bullish IFVG * ✔ Weekly Bullish FVG * ✔ Liquidity-Based Reversal * ✔ Sequential IRL Buy-Side Liquidity Targets --- ## **Trade Plan** ### **Entry** * **$26–31** (Current accumulation zone) * Additional positions can be considered on confirmed bullish lower-timeframe structure. ### **Stop Loss** * Weekly close below **$19.18** --- ## **Liquidity Roadmap** | Target | Level | Objective | | ------- | ----------: | ------------------------------ | | **TP1** | **$51.40** | Yearly Open High IRL BSL | | **TP2** | **$66.44** | Internal Buy-Side Liquidity | | **TP3** | **$80.87** | Major Weekly IRL BSL | | **TP4** | **$101.40** | Weekly FVG / Premium Liquidity | --- ## **Alternative Scenario** A failure to hold the **$26–31** accumulation zone and a weekly close below **$19.18** would invalidate the bullish thesis and increase the probability of deeper discount repricing. --- ## **Risk Assessment** * **Risk:** Medium * **Reward:** Very High * **Estimated R:R:** ~**11:1** --- ## **Trade Checklist** * ✅ Weekly SSL swept * ✅ Price inside HTF Discount * ✅ Bullish IFVG/FVG support * ✅ Entry near institutional demand * ⏳ Await bullish MSS/CISD confirmation on execution timeframe --- ## **Conclusion** SMCI presents a high-probability swing opportunity from a higher-timeframe accumulation zone. As long as price remains above the **$19.18** invalidation level, the roadmap favors continuation toward **$51.40**, **$66.44**, **$80.87**, and ultimately **$101.40**, with interim reactions expected around the overhead weekly FVGs.