EUR/USD Liquidity Compression Above a Strong Low

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EUR/USD Liquidity Compression Above a Strong LowEUR/USDOANDA:EURUSDaminrahmani888Market Thesis: EUR/USD is consolidating on the 15-minute chart between a LuxAlgo Strong Low near 1.15003 and internal buy-side liquidity around 1.15145. The immediate order flow remains bearish following rejection from 1.15350, but sellers have not achieved acceptance beneath the protected low. This is a conditional market: a sweep-and-reclaim of support favors mean reversion higher, while a confirmed 15-minute breakdown below 1.15000 would validate bearish continuation. Visible Confluences — 15-Minute Chart: Current market price: 1.15093 Blue support zone: 1.15015–1.15060 LuxAlgo Strong Low: approximately 1.15003 EQL liquidity is concentrated around the blue support region. Immediate red reaction zone: 1.15090–1.15150 Local EQH liquidity is positioned near 1.15145 Higher red reaction zone: 1.15310–1.15350 Major bullish CHoCH reference: 1.15360 LuxAlgo Weak High: approximately 1.15590 Historical bearish CHoCH reference: approximately 1.14985 Trade Scenarios: Setup 1: Buy the Support Sweep Direction: Buy Entry zone: 1.15020–1.15055 Confirmation: Liquidity sweep into the blue zone, followed by a 1-minute or 5-minute bullish CHoCH and a momentum close back above 1.15060 Stop loss: 1.14990 TP1: 1.15095 TP2: 1.15145 TP3: 1.15310 Logic: The setup exploits sell-side liquidity around the EQL cluster while preserving invalidation beneath the marked Strong Low. Setup 2: Sell the Local EQH Sweep Direction: Sell Entry zone: 1.15120–1.15150 Confirmation: Sweep of the local EQH, bearish rejection candle and lower-timeframe bearish CHoCH Stop loss: 1.15170 TP1: 1.15060 TP2: 1.15020 TP3: 1.14985 Logic: The immediate structure remains capped beneath the local red zone. A failed liquidity run above the EQH would provide the cleanest bearish entry. Setup 3: Confirmed Breakdown Continuation Direction: Sell Entry zone: 1.14995–1.15015, following a confirmed breakdown and retest Confirmation: A full 15-minute candle close below 1.15000, followed by failure to reclaim 1.15020 Stop loss: 1.15065 TP1: 1.14985 TP2: 1.14840 TP3: 1.14560 Logic: Acceptance beneath the LuxAlgo Strong Low would invalidate the support thesis and expose the previous downside liquidity structure. Refinement Tip: Treat the identified 15-minute zones as the higher-timeframe reference and refine execution on the 1-minute or 5-minute chart. For the strongest risk-to-reward profile, require a liquidity sweep, LTF CHoCH and decisive momentum candle before entering. Avoid initiating positions in the middle of the current compression. ⚠️ Disclaimer: Trading financial markets involves significant risk and may result in substantial losses. This analysis represents a probability-based interpretation of the visible market structure—not a guarantee of future performance or personalized financial advice. It is provided strictly for educational and analytical purposes. Use independent judgment, defined invalidation levels and disciplined risk management.