TLDRStrategy’s BTC Credit model assumes a 10% Bitcoin annual return, 40% volatility, and a $62,900 BTC price.MSTR stock trades at $93.28, below its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages.The daily Ichimoku Kijun at $93.37 serves as the nearest resistance level.MACD, RSI, CCI, and Stochastic RSI readings point to continued bearish momentum.MSTR stock fell 4.56% during the latest session despite gaining 1.76% from last week’s close.Strategy has outlined the assumptions behind its BTC Credit model as MSTR stock remains under heavy selling pressure. The company said the calculation uses a 10% Bitcoin annual return rate, 40% Bitcoin volatility, and a reference Bitcoin price of $62,900.The disclosure comes as Strategy shares struggle below major moving averages. MSTR stock trades at $93.28, below the 20-day average of $96.04, the 50-day average of $112.68, and the 200-day average of $157.84. Shares also remain far below their 52-week high of $414.36, showing how much market value has been lost recently.Strategy Inc, MSTRStrategy Details: BTC Credit ModelStrategy said its BTC Credit measure relies on fixed market assumptions rather than current trading conditions alone. The model uses Bitcoin returns, volatility, and price inputs to estimate the credit profile linked to its capital structure.Strategy increased its USD Reserve by $250M and repurchased $81M of $STRC. This increased USD Duration by 57 days to 2.3 years and tightened STRC’s BTC Credit by 5 bps. As of 8/2/26, we hold ₿842,138 in our BTC Reserve and $4.0B in our USD Reserve. $MSTRhttps://t.co/zzra7RL5Zg— Strategy (@Strategy) August 3, 2026The company’s chosen inputs place Bitcoin at $62,900, with a projected annual return of 10%. The model also assumes 40% volatility, showing that price swings remain central to the calculation.MSTR Stock Trades Below Key AveragesMSTR stock remains below several major technical levels, showing broad weakness across short-, medium-, and long-term trends. The daily Ichimoku Kijun stands at $93.37 and acts as the nearest resistance level.A move above $96.04 could open the way toward $100. Stronger resistance sits near the 50-day average at $112.68 and the 100-day average at $133.00. Support appears near $89, followed by the 52-week low of $81.95.Daily momentum indicators remain weak. The MACD shows a strong sell signal, while the RSI, CCI, and Stochastic RSI remain in sell or oversold zones.The Bull Bear Power reading stands at negative 0.83, showing firm seller control. MSTR stock is still 1.76% above last week’s close of $91.67, though the latest session recorded a 4.56% decline.Weekly Range Keeps Risk ElevatedThe expected weekly range sits between $89.35 and $100.05. The main scenario points to sideways trading between $90 and $98 while selling pressure continues.A break above $93.37 could support a move toward $100. A fall below $89 could expose the stock to renewed weakness near $81.95. Investors are also watching Strategy’s capital allocation policy for any change that may affect demand.The post MSTR Stock Faces Pressure After Strategy’s BTC Credit Update appeared first on Blockonomi.