EURUSD Weekly Trade Plan from 06/22/2026 to 06/26/2026.EUR/USDOANDA:EURUSDBigPapaaX📊 Current Market Structure and Data Snapshot • Current Price: 1.14715 (The market is currently closed below the 200-period moving average on the H4 chart and with bearish momentum). • A large portion of retail traders (around 59%-61%) are still holding Long (Buy) positions. • Smart Money (COT): Large institutional speculators are gradually reducing their Euro long positions and maintaining their interest in the US Dollar (DXY). 📉 Primary Trade Plan: Bearish Continuation (Primary Plan) Since retail traders are looking to buy, smart money may push the market lower to take liquidity. Our main strategy from the 1.14715 level will be Sell-on-Rally. ----> Strong resistance (Sell entry here) ▲ │ (Small pullback) ───────┴────────────── Current price level │ (Direct breakout) ▼ --------> Breakout sell (TP: 1.1350) 1. Resistance rejection (Pullback Sell) If the market recovers slightly from 1.14715 at the beginning of the week and goes to the upper resistance zone: • Entry zone: 1.1510 to 1.1535 area. • Confirmation: A bearish rejection candle (Pin Bar or Engulfing) should be seen in this zone on the H1 or H4 chart. • Take Profit (TP 1): 1.14200 (Recent Swing Low). • Take Profit (TP 2): 1.1350 (Major Liquidity Zone). • Stop Loss (SL): 1.1575. 2. Direct Breakout (Aggressive Breakout Sell) If the market starts to fall directly from the current level without pulling back upwards: • Entry Condition: If the price falls below the 1.14200 level and closes a strong 4-hour candle. • Take Profit (TP): 1.1350 to 1.1300 zone. • Stop Loss (SL): 1.14850 (slightly above 1.14715). 🚀 Alternative Plan: Counter-Trend Buy Since the 1.14715 level is close to a psychological support area, a small short-term buy or scalping opportunity could come from here, but it is quite risky. • Buy Condition: If the market creates support between the 1.14715 and 1.14500 zone and the long positions of retail traders on MyFoxBook suddenly decrease (drop below 50%) and short positions start to increase. • Target (TP): 1.1510. • Stop Loss (SL): Below 1.14200. ⚠️ Special Warning for this week The dollar is quite strong due to the hawkish stance of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Therefore, it would be wise not to go against the trend (buy trade) without any major confirmation or news event. Always set your trade size according to the 1% risk rule of your account.