SPY/SPX Updated Forecast (16–18 JUN)State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETFBATS:SPYUA_CAPITALSPY/SPX Updated Forecast This Week's Scenarios / Prediction Risk Index The Risk Index remains in a strong risk on regime, and currently there are no signs suggesting a meaningful pullback before another attempt at all time highs. This oscillator reads macro conditions and converts them into a technical risk framework. It was developed internally at UA CAPITAL and remains the primary indicator I use for both short term and long-term positioning decisions. The Risk Index continues to signal bullish continuation. If geopolitical headlines remain stable and no new negative catalysts emerge, the model suggests that new all time highs remain achievable. For that reason, we will continue focusing exclusively on swing long opportunities from predefined key levels. Long Scenarios We currently have two primary bounce zones. Long Scenario 1 KEY Level 1 (755.5) This is the first major support zone where I expect a reaction. If price reaches this area and confirms a bounce, call options can be used to establish long exposure. Targets: 758 → 760 → 765 Runner can be held. Long Scenario 2 KEY Level 2 (750) This is the second major support zone where I expect a reaction. If price reaches this area and confirms a bounce, call options can be used to establish long exposure. Targets: 753 → 755.5 → 758 → 760 Runner can be held. Premium Tip Price may temporarily break below these bounce zones, creating the appearance of a failed setup before reclaiming the level and moving higher. Because of this, entries can be considered after an hourly bullish candle close above the zone. Position Management Rules 1. Entry model: One hourly bullish candle close above the level. 2. Take profits in stages because market reversals can happen quickly. 3. After the first profit target is reached, move all remaining stop losses to breakeven and convert the position into a risk-free trade. 4. A reaction from the level must be confirmed. We do not predict price. We react to price. 5. Daily candle close below the bounce zone = stop loss. Notice: My previous SPY and QQQ content since 2025 is no longer visible following a TradingView content review. This included my regular weekly outlooks and mid-week market updates. I have been consistently publishing market research and will continue sharing new analysis and updates going forward. This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.