DAX Why today resembles the 2018 Bear Cycle.Germany 40TRADENATION:DE40TradingShotDAX (DE40) failed to break last month above its 2026 Resistance and make new All Time Highs (ATH) and because of that it remains under pressure. Until it does make a new ATH, DAX's price action since Q4 2025 is very similar to the 2018 Bear Cycle. With identical 1D RSI sequences among the two fractals, both patterns started off with a 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) rebound that led the market to a new ATH and then a strong correction to touch exactly the 1W MA100 (red trend-line), form a 1D Death Cross and rebound. As mentioned, we are currently on the phase below the Resistance. In 2018 that phase initiated a new prolonged decline that broke even below the 1W MA200 (black trend-line) and on a -24.45% total decline, marginally broke below the 1.786 Fibonacci extension from the 1W MA100 Low. This time the 1W MA200 is considerably lower than the 1W MA100, so unless we see a strong crash, the index should decline more gradually towards the end of the year and potentially test the 1W MA200 above both the 1.786 Fib ext and the -24.45% 2018 measurement. As a result, we are expecting DAX to hit at least its 1W MA100 again at 22800. If it closes a 1W candle below it, then we can see a full Bear Cycle extending all the way to the 1W MA200 at 20000. --- ** Please LIKE π, FOLLOW β , SHARE π and COMMENT β if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- πΈπΈπΈπΈπΈπΈ π π π π π π