Gold Update Post-FOMC

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Gold Update Post-FOMCGoldOANDA:XAUUSDCHIT0SEMacro Context (Hawkish FOMC Update) • Fundamental Driver: The FOMC delivered a hawkish pause; while rates stayed unchanged, the dot plot significantly raised the 2026 median rate projection. Elevated inflation and strong economic activity provide the Fed with room to maintain a restrictive stance, establishing a fundamentally bearish backdrop for Gold. • Technical Alignment: This hawkish narrative perfectly fuels the 4H/2H bearish order flow, transforming the recent upside correction into a high-probability Premium Retracement. Key Monitoring Zones (POI) • Primary Sell Zone: ~4310 - 4335 (The red box/Key Level). This area represents the post-FOMC premium supply zone, aligning with the 4H/2H rejection blocks and the FVG left behind during the initial post-news drop. • Confirmation Trigger: Watch for a lower timeframe Market Structure Shift (MSS) inside the red box as buyers exhaust themselves, or look for a clean break and retest below the 4280 level to catch the momentum extension. Targets & Risk Management • Short-Term Targets (TP1): 4026 - 3930 (Internal Range Liquidity / Swing Lows). • Long-Term Targets (TP2): 3800 - 3500 (External Range Liquidity, capitalizing on sustained dollar strength). • Invalidation (SL): Strictly placed above the structural high at 4428 (Swing Trade/false breakout) 4388 (intraday) to protect against potential liquidity sweeps or post-FOMC whipsaws.