SHIB LONG — 1D ALMA Setup (WR 85%)SHIBUSDTPERP PERPETUAL MIX CONTRACTBITGET:SHIBUSDT.PGoldfinch_song█ SETUP Shiba Inu perp · BITGET:SHIBUSDT.P · 1D · long only. ALMA Averaging Strategy: ALMA 3 / σ2, SD band 2, min diff 6 bar to add / 1 bar to exit, 25% per bar, up to 4 adds, hard stop −10% from average entry. Strategy Tester (SHIB 1D): Win rate 85% · profit factor 6.3 · max drawdown 6% Avg winning trade +17.0% · avg losing trade −7.9% Typical hold ~16 bars on winners · 39 trades in sample Meme-beta sleeve — high WR with winners more than 2× typical loss size ═ █ WHY NOW Sunday midnight daily bar — fresh 1D ALMA long at 29 Jun 00:00 UTC ~0.000004163 on the 85% WR template. This is a daily mean-reversion add into the meme complex after a waterfall June — not a social-headline chase. Mark since entry ~+3.7% (early green MTM). Hard stop zone −10% from fill ~0.000003747. Exits follow Pine ALMA rules or the hard stop — no discretionary TP ladder. ═ █ MACRO Crypto tape: BTC range-bound into the week — alt memes can outperform on short squeezes when BTC holds, but bleed faster on risk-off days. Meme sector: SHIB trades as high-beta social liquidity — flows follow BTC stability and retail risk appetite more than fundamentals. Context: Geopolitical headline week (oil / macro) kept crypto volatile — daily ALMA entries aim for bar-close discipline, not prediction of the next viral catalyst. Execution is 1D ALMA, not a token roadmap call. ═ █ OUTLOOK Positive factors - 85% WR · PF 6.3 · avg win +17.0% vs avg loss −7.9% · ~16 bars — strong tester skew for a meme pair - Fresh 29 Jun 00:00Z daily entry · early MTM positive - Daily TF = slower bar clock vs 4H/12H meme scalps — fewer whipsaw exits if BTC range holds - Hard −10% stop caps nominal script risk per lot - High avg win vs avg loss supports holding rule exits rather than manual panic on first red day Negative factors - Meme beta — correlation to BTC risk-off days remains high; daily bar can gap through a %-stop - Social/narrative risk: sentiment can flip intraday without a chart signal - Single-lot start — add grid may engage lower if discount extends - Past backtest ≠ live perp fills (funding, wick risk on BITGET) Base case: daily ALMA holds · BTC stable · slow grind toward next ALMA target band if meme complex stays bid. Bear case: BTC risk-off gap · lose daily ALMA · −10% hard stop toward ~0.00000375.