BITCOIN DAILY UNBIASED PERSPECTIVE Bitcoin / TetherCOINBASE:BTCUSDTShavyfxhubBITCOIN HYPE calling retail traders to long without confirmation on weekly timeframe is a national disaster irrespective of what you think The structure is bearish on weekly/daily neutral to bullish on monthly timeframe. Based on the interpretation of structure on daily timeframe ,the structure might be heading for retest into broken Demandfloor which will become our new Supplyroof and reason to shot based on risk appetite. United States economic dockets. The Feds rate 3.5%-3.75% rate the same under new chairmanship Kevin Warsh who remains hawkish ,his rhetorics help set the forward trajectory for dollar index and US10Y. BTCUSD have dollar play factors but can decouple at any time. The data released today (Non-Farm Payrolls / Employment Situation Report) comes from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), which is part of the U.S. Department of Labor. 1:30pm Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.3%0.3%0.3% Non-Farm Employment Change 57K114K129K Unemployment Rate 4.2%4.3%4.3% This is the official monthly Employment Situation report, which includes: • The Establishment Survey (for Non-Farm Payroll employment, Average Hourly Earnings, etc.). • The Household Survey (for the Unemployment Rate). Unemployment Claims (weekly) are also from the Department of Labor, but the main block (NFP, wages, unemployment rate) is the BLS report.  Fed Interpretation of This Mixed/Soft Report The Fed (under Chair Kevin Warsh) closely watches labor market data for signals on maximum employment (one side of its dual mandate) and inflation pressures (via wage growth, as labor costs feed into services inflation). Key Takeaways from Today’s Numbers: • Non-Farm Payrolls +57K (well below expectations of +114K and prior +129K) → Soft/weak job growth. This indicates a cooling labor market, with hiring slowing more than anticipated. Revisions to prior months (if any) would add context, but the headline miss suggests weakening demand for labor. • Unemployment Rate 4.2% (better than expected 4.3%) → Slight improvement/tightening, but still around recent levels. Not a sharp rise that would signal recession. • Average Hourly Earnings +0.3% m/m (in line with expectations) → Steady wage growth, no acceleration. This is important because persistent strong wage pressures could keep inflation sticky. • Unemployment Claims 215K (better than expected) → Continuing claims and initial claims remain relatively low, supporting a still-resilient (but softening) labor market. Overall Fed View: • Dovish tilt: The weak payroll print points to a cooling economy and labor market, reducing the risk of overheating. This could ease pressure for immediate rate hikes and keep the door open for cuts later if the slowdown persists. The Fed has been data-dependent and focused on balancing employment and inflation. • Still cautious on inflation: Steady wage growth (even if not accelerating) means the Fed won’t declare victory on inflation risks. Wages are a key driver of services inflation, which has been sticky. • Balanced but leaning less hawkish: This report is mixed-to-soft — not catastrophic (unemployment didn’t spike, wages stable), but the big miss on jobs adds evidence of moderation. The Fed will likely interpret it as supporting a “wait-and-see” or gradual approach rather than aggressive tightening. It reduces the chance of near-term hikes and may support markets expecting eventual easing.  Market/Policy Context: With the next FOMC meeting July 28–29, this data will be heavily discussed in the lead-up. A string of soft labor data could shift expectations toward rate cuts, while sticky wages/inflation would keep the Fed on hold or hawkish. The Fed also looks at broader indicators (e.g., JOLTS, quit rates, productivity) for a fuller picture beyond this single report. This is one data point in a complex picture — the Fed will weigh it alongside inflation readings (CPI/PCE), GDP, and other indicators. #BITCOIN