“The Democratic Party has a serious chance to win a Senate seat in Texas for the first time in a generation, as James Talarico, a Democratic state legislator, begins the summer locked in a tied race with Ken Paxton, the Republican state attorney general weighed down by past scandals,” according to a New York Times/Siena poll.“Overall, Mr. Talarico and Mr. Paxton each garnered 47 percent of the vote in the poll.”Nate Cohn: “Just about everything would need to go right for Democrats to win a state that President Trump won by 14 percentage points in 2024 — and, so far, everything has.”