Robert Kiyosaki's Gold Price Prediction Shows a 750% Surge, but My XAU/USD Chart Sees a Death Cross Forming

Wait 5 sec.

Gold tradednear $4,110 per ounce on Friday, July 10, 2026, down about 0.3% on the sessionand coiling in a tightening range just above the $4,000 line it briefly lost in late June. Robert Kiyosaki wants you to lookpast all of it. The authorof "Rich Dad Poor Dad" still sees gold (XAU/USD) at $35,000 an ounce, a climb of more than750% from here, and he repeated the call at the end of June while the metal wasstill falling. My gold price prediction runs the other way on the timeframethat actually trades, because the chart is closing on its first death crosssince 2023.Thedistance between those two views is the whole story. Kiyosaki is describing afive-year, collapse-driven repricing, while my chart is describing the next fewweeks, and the two point in opposite directions. Both can hold at once, whichis exactly why the headline number is worth taking apart.Followme on X for real-time gold market analysis: @ChmielDkKiyosaki Doubles Down onGold Price, Then BlinksWhen Ifirst put Kiyosaki's $35,000 target under the gold chart in March, spot sat near $4,493 andthe call implied a roughly 680% gain. Gold has since dropped to $4,110, so thesame target now implies about 751%, more than eight times the current price.The forecast did not get bigger. The price got smaller.Kiyosakihas not softened it. On June 27 he claimed he had picked the turn, noting goldhad risen since he bought and floating a bull run toward $35,000 if macrostrategist Jim Rickards proves right, which he said he believes. He also nudgedfollowers toward technical analysis as the study worth learning.Yay: I may have picked the turnin price of gold.Gold up $62 since I purchased yesterday. Possibly on a bull run to $35k if Jim Rickards is correct…. and I think he is. LESSON: An important study for you to increase your financial education is Technical Analysis,how…— Robert Kiyosaki (@theRealKiyosaki) June 27, 2026Two dayslater the tone flipped. On June 29 he wrote, "I was wrong. Gold stillcrashing!" then restated that he still expects $35,000 in about fiveyears, reminding readers that profits are made on the buy, not the sell.I was wrong. Gold still crashing!Thats real life. RD Lesson: Profuts are made when you buy…. Not when you sell.I still believe gold will be $35 k in about 5-years.But that is real life: All markets go up and down.Another RD lesson: The richest investors invest for…— Robert Kiyosaki (@theRealKiyosaki) June 29, 2026Theconcession matters more than the target. A forecaster who admits the timing isoff is telling you the near term belongs to the chart, not the thesis.The Death Cross He Isn'tChartingHere iswhat my chart shows. Gold has spent the past month consolidating just over$4,000, the psychological level that lines up with the March lows to form thefloor of the range. Resistanceruns from roughly $4,200 up into the $4,300 to $4,400 band, and inside thatband sit the two moving averages every trend trader watches. They areconverging on a death cross, the first since 2023, and price is already tradingbelow both of them rather than testing them from above.In fifteenyears charting metals, a decade of them at FinanceMagnates.com, I have learnedthat the loudest long-term calls and the daily chart rarely run on the sameclock. A death cross is a real signal, not a verdict. The last one, back in2023, reversed within weeks, a caveat I flagged when the setup first formed in late June. What tips theodds bearish this time is the position of price beneath both lines, not abovethem.A fallingtrend line off the March highs adds a second wall. It now cuts across near$4,200 and has rejected every rally since the record, forcing lower highs forfour straight months. Stack that descending line on the flat $4,000 floor andthe shape is a descending triangle, a pattern that narrows until price issqueezed out of it. With the primary trend already down, the break more oftencomes through the floor than the ceiling.Lose $4,000on a daily close and the math changes quickly. My downside target stays $3,440,the 100% Fibonacci extension of the 2025 advance and roughly the lowest goldwould have traded since August 2025. That level sits about 16% under spot andclose to 40% below January's $5,595 record. A daily close back above the $4,300to $4,400 band would neutralize the entire setup and put the $5,400 record zoneback into the conversation.Where This Gold PricePrediction Sits Against Wall StreetGold isheavy for reasons that have nothing to do with Kiyosaki's bubble thesis. RealTreasury yields remain elevated, the Federal Reserve has trimmed its 2026rate-cut plans to a single move, and a firm dollar keeps capping bounces beforethey mature. Those are the same forces I have tracked through this correction,and none of them has flipped.Wall Streetstill sits far below $35,000 and well above spot. Goldman Sachs holds $5,400 for year-end and JPMorgan's basecase runs near $5,000, targets I read as credible only once gold reclaims$4,300. The World Gold Council's bear case flags a 5% to 20% drop ifreflation takes hold, which fits my chart far better than any of the bullnumbers right now. The full institutional range is wide, yet it clusters two tothree thousand dollars under Kiyosaki's figure.So does the$35,000 call belong in the bin? Not really, because central banks bought 244net tonnes in the first quarter of 2026, a structural bid that keeps gold'sdirection higher over years even while the daily tape bleeds. Kiyosaki'smagnitude is the outlier, not his direction, and his June reversal is the tellthat the long-horizon case and the daily chart run on different clocks. I havetracked this target since the March analysis where I first weighed it, with therest of my gold work on my analyst page.FAQ: Gold Price PredictionWhy Does Robert KiyosakiPredict Gold at $35,000?Kiyosakities his gold price prediction to a systemic breakdown in fiat currencies, notto ordinary supply and demand. He argues that debt, deficits, and moneyprinting will eventually pop what he calls the everything bubble, and that goldreprices violently once it does. The $35,000 figure is conditional on thatcollapse, which is why he frames it in years rather than months.How Much Would Gold Haveto Rise to Reach $35,000?FromFriday's price near $4,110 per ounce, gold would need to gain about 751%, morethan eight times its current value, to reach Kiyosaki's target. Put anotherway, the metal would have to add almost $31,000 an ounce. No major bankforecast comes close, since the highest year-end 2026 targets on Wall Streetsit near $6,000, a small fraction of that climb.Is a Death Cross aReliable Sell Signal for Gold?Not on itsown. A death cross, where the 50-day average falls below the 200-day, confirmsthat momentum has turned, but it lags price and can misfire. Gold's last deathcross in 2023 reversed within weeks. What makes the current signal more seriousis that price already trades below both averages and under a falling trend linedrawn from the March highs.How Low Can Gold Go if$4,000 Breaks?A dailyclose below $4,000 would open my primary downside target of $3,440, the 100%Fibonacci extension of the 2025 rally and roughly the lowest gold has tradedsince August 2025. That is about 16% under Friday's price and close to 40%below January's record high near $5,595. A reclaim of $4,300 to $4,400 wouldcancel the bearish setup.Should Investors TrustKiyosaki's Track Record on Gold?His callstend to be directionally right but poorly timed. He correctly flagged highergold and silver over the years, yet his price targets have often arrived lateor short of the level promised. His late-June admission that he was early fitsthat pattern. Treat the $35,000 number as a long-horizon scenario rather than adated forecast, and size any position accordingly.This article was written by Damian Chmiel at www.financemagnates.com.