Bitcoin enters week Gaussian channel - September 2026Bitcoin all time history indexINDEX:BTCUSDwithout_worriesNext stop: $95-96k with 100% probability. Do you remember this idea? At that time price action printed a candle body inside the channel around 101k on the weekly chart. Fairly unpopular amongst the Bitcoin maxis to tell them precious was going down. Price action has now confirmed the channel once more. And the 100% ?? “At its core statistics is not about cleverness and technique, but rather about honesty.” as my professor in operational research used to quote me. Statistics also say most people die in hospital.. so stay away from hospitals. It’s not wrong, but you go there when you need to and people buy market tops because they must. Ask the maxis. The also sell the bottoms, just like Tech lead.. If you can bring yourself to part with the fundamental mumbo jumbo, I’ll lay on the facts. Facts with confluence. The Gaussian channel on the week after a bull / bear market. Each of the weekly charts below has price action entering the channel after: The end of a bull market The end of a bear market The all make this distinction short after the recently reported death cross. The would be the confluence mentioned earlier. March 2023 April 2019 & March 2020 October 2015 But there’s more, $95-96k, why are you so certain? That annoying subject again, statistics. Some say this is no strategy at all. You know who you are. Take another glance at the above charts, what do you see? Every time price action enters AND confirms the entry (it has), price action will continue until the upper side is tested. Most assets do this, stock, crapto, Bonds, price of Hong Kong fishcakes. For the high majority of the time the statistic will play out. Bitcoin has a track record of 100% as measured throughout all price action history available. Summery, no short selling amigo. Is $95-96k the next market top? No. Do you know what it is? Certainly do. A flex not many can make. Annoying isn't he? It was the exact same process used to call the market to at strike120k from around 18k. Do you know what that process was? Some of you do, some of you don’t. If you’re meant to know, you will. If not, social media has done its work on you. Is it possible for price action to reverse and test the lows? For sure. Is it probable? No. Ww ==================================================== Disclaimer Past observations are evidence, not guarantees. A statistical pattern can have a 100% historical hit rate and fail on the very next observation. That's statistics. Irritating, isn't it? Markets contain risk. Bitcoin contains quite a lot of it. Price can rise, fall, reverse, collapse, overshoot, undershoot, or spend three weeks doing absolutely nothing simply to make everyone involved look stupid. So don't buy because I said $95-96k. Don't sell because I said $95-96k. Don't leverage your grandmother because I said $95-96k. Do your own analysis, understand your risk, and make your own decisions. And if Bitcoin doesn't reach $95-96k, congratulations: you've just witnessed the historical statistic change from 100%. Science marches on.