NQ Weekly Outlook – Week 37 of 2026 (SEP 14 - 18)E-mini Nasdaq-100 FuturesCME_MINI:NQ1!UA_CAPITALNQ WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK Risk Index: What Is the Risk Index Oscillator? This oscillator reads macro conditions and converts them into a technical risk framework. It was developed internally at UA CAPITAL and remains the primary indicator I use for both short-term and long-term positioning decisions. Long term: Risk On Mid term: Risk On Short term: Risk Off Warning: Due to macro liquidity risks, we could see sharp flushes on any negative news flow. The macro environment remains tight and unbalanced, with geopolitical risks, particularly the Iran war, still creating uncertainty. Following this week’s CPI and PPI data, the market is now pricing a higher probability of a rate hike. NQ Futures Technical Look There are two zones where I expect bullish reactions. SWING LEVEL: 29400 SUPPORT 2: 28525 The following levels could act as strong resistance zones for short side opportunities: MIDTERM TARGET: 29778 FLIP LEVEL: 30078 BULLISH TARGET 1: 30600 BULLISH TARGET 2: 30990 Decision Zone: The Swing Level appears to be a critical decision zone for the next directional move. A close above this level could shift the market into a bullish structure, while price remaining below it could lead to a deeper bearish move. UA CAPITAL Trading Desk Weekly Execution Metrics | WEEK 36 Total Trades Closed: 7 Winning Trades: 5 Losing Trades: 2 Overall Win Rate: 71% Index Options: 1 Trade (1 Win — QQQ) Futures Desk: 6 Trades (4 Wins / 2 Losses on ES & NQ) Equities / Precious Metals / Forex: 0 Trades Result: A solid, systematic green week. This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.