Best betting promos and sportsbooks for NFL prop bets [September 17, 2026]

Wait 5 sec.

The Buffalo Bills host the Detroit Lions in the debut of their new stadium on Thursday night.After entering the year listed as one of the betting favorites to win the Super Bowl, the Buffalo Bills looked the part in their week one victory over Houston, beating the Texans 36-31.Heading into Thursday night’s contest against the Detroit Lions, expect the Bills to continue to thrive by relentlessly attacking a defense who struggles to defend against the pass.Even though there is only one game taking place on Thursday night, there are still a wide range of prop bets and markets to groom through which you can read a detailed breakdown of them below.Best betting promos and sportsbooks for NFL prop betsFind the best promos and sportsbooks to use for today’s Football prop bets.Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills (8:15pm, EST)Josh Allen Longest Completion Over 38.5 Yards (-115) at BetMGM SportsbookWhile the Detroit Lions were able to secure the win, their secondary has massive question marks lingering over them, entering week two ranked below league average in Def Pass Success Rate and in Explosiveness.When struggling to stay on their assignments hips, Tyler Shough was able to air out the ball, throwing for over 400 yards.Unfortunately for the Lions, their struggles in coverage are poised to persist against the Buffalo Bills as they face off against Josh Allen who ranks near the top of the board in EPA per play while leading all qualified QBs in Air Yards/Reception.Especially with the Lions forced to spy their linebackers in an attempt to neutralize Allen’s legs, creating more space for the Bills pass catchers on the outside which increases their chances of generating an explosive play after the catch.Josh Allen Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+100) at BetMGM SportsbookSpeaking of Allen’s running ability, his versatility was on full display against the Texans, scoring a pair of touchdowns with his legs. When stretched out in coverage, Allen’s running lanes in the middle will widen, making it easier to generate yards after contact once he gets past the trenches.If you want to diversify your risk on Allen, place a separate wager on the Bills quarterback to clear the over of 1.5 on his Passing Touchdown prop as well.Jared Goff Under 269.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM SportsbookOn the other side of the field, Jared Goff was conservative with his throws in the Lions season opener, throwing for just 206 yards while completing 66% of his passes.His inability to connect with his pass catchers across the sticks was alarming, plummeting down to the bottom of the board in Dropback Success Rate and in CPOE.With his offensive line dealing with injuries, Goff’s struggles in the pocket will continue to handicap their offense while battling it out against a defensive line who generates pressure at a high rate.With less time in the pocket, Goff will be forced to get the ball out of his hands shortly after the snap, lowering the quality of his throws. A shortened week also normally leads to a conservative game script, trading pass attempts for carries.Jahmyr Gibbs Over 88.5 Rushing Yards (-113) at Caesars SportsbookAfter struggling to defend against the run last year, the Bills front seven have continued to underwhelm, kicking off their year ranked 23rd overall in Def Rush EPA.By allowing opposing running backs to reach the second level of their defense, they are able to consistently cut the distance to gain in half, improving their probability of converting on later downs.With the Lions pass catchers forcing the Bills to pull their linebackers to the outside, Jahmyr Gibbs will be able to continue to generate explosive runs once he gets past the line of scrimmage, chipping away at his lofty total with each carry.For some more exposure, escalator bet Gibbs Rushing Yardage prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate overs at the best available odds across multiple sportsbooks.Jahmyr Gibbs to Have the Most Rushing Yards (-170) at FanDuel SportsbookWhile the Lions secondary struggled to defend against the pass, their front seven fared far better on the ground, climbing into the top-6 in Def Rush Success Rate.By forcing James Cook to fight off contact in the backfield, he will be held to minimal gains with each carry, giving Gibbs the edge in the most rushing yards market.About the authorKody MalstromKody Malstrom is a professional sports bettor and sports betting journalist with six years of experience covering a vast majority of sports. He covers football, basketball, hockey, baseball, and the UFC in written and video form.Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a Detroit sports fan who spends all of his Sundays in the fall rooting for the Detroit Lions and Saturdays watching as much College Football as possible. In the winter, he shifts his focus to the Detroit Red Wings and Pistons while simultaneously rooting for his North Carolina Tar Heels.When he is not staring at betting markets, you can find Kody at the beach or snowboarding down a mountain, depending on the time of the year.Commercial content notice: Taking one of the sportsbooks offers featured in this article may result in a payment to talkSPORT. 21+. T&Cs apply. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GamblerResponsible gambling Remember to gamble responsiblyA responsible gambler is someone who:Establishes time and monetary limits before playingOnly gambles with money they can afford to loseNever chase their lossesDoesn’t gamble if they’re upset, angry, or depressedNational Council on Problem Gambling – https://www.ncpgambling.org/For help with a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline on 1-800-522-4700 or go to ncpgambling.org/chat