SVCE: Bullish Trend Intact, But Patience Pays South Valley Cement Co.EGX_DLY:SVCEmnmabroukw36ixSVCE: Bullish Trend Intact, But Patience Pays ποΈ SVCE has maintained one of the strongest long-term uptrends on the EGX since the beginning of 2024. The primary trend remains intact, but the stock is now consolidating below a major resistance area. The Fundamentals π SVCE completed a remarkable turnaround by returning to profitability in FY2025 after posting a significant loss the previous year. π The 2.40B EGP capital increase has strengthened liquidity, supported debt restructuring, and improved the company's financial flexibility. π° The turnaround story continues to attract strong speculative interest and trading volume. π However, the cement sector remains highly sensitive to energy costs and pricing pressure. β οΈ The large capital increase also introduces dilution risk, requiring stronger earnings growth to support future valuations. π Overall, the business is improving, but the turnaround still needs to translate into sustained long-term earnings growth. π The Pulse π SVCE has respected its long-term rising channel since the beginning of 2024 without a confirmed breakdown. π Breaking above the upper boundary of this channel would require exceptionally strong buying momentum. π For now, the stock is consolidating inside a sideways range just below the upper band of the main uptrend channel. π I would not chase the current price near resistance. β³ My preferred strategy is to wait for a healthy pullback toward the lower boundary of the rising channel. π That area would offer a much more attractive long-term risk-reward opportunity. β Until then, the stock remains a watch rather than a buy. βοΈ The Verdict π― The long-term trend remains firmly bullish. π The turnaround story continues to improve the fundamental outlook. πͺ However, the current technical position does not offer an attractive entry. β³ I will wait for a pullback toward the lower channel support before considering a long-term position. π― Until then, SVCE stays on my watchlist. π If you like my insights, follow and boost! πππ π $15 TradingView Discount: https://www.tradingview.com/pricing/?share_your_love=mnmabroukw36ix β¨πΈπ€