SVCE: Bullish Trend Intact, But Patience Pays

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SVCE: Bullish Trend Intact, But Patience Pays South Valley Cement Co.EGX_DLY:SVCEmnmabroukw36ixSVCE: Bullish Trend Intact, But Patience Pays πŸ—οΈ SVCE has maintained one of the strongest long-term uptrends on the EGX since the beginning of 2024. The primary trend remains intact, but the stock is now consolidating below a major resistance area. The Fundamentals πŸ“Š SVCE completed a remarkable turnaround by returning to profitability in FY2025 after posting a significant loss the previous year. πŸ“ˆ The 2.40B EGP capital increase has strengthened liquidity, supported debt restructuring, and improved the company's financial flexibility. πŸ’° The turnaround story continues to attract strong speculative interest and trading volume. πŸš€ However, the cement sector remains highly sensitive to energy costs and pricing pressure. ⚠️ The large capital increase also introduces dilution risk, requiring stronger earnings growth to support future valuations. πŸ“‰ Overall, the business is improving, but the turnaround still needs to translate into sustained long-term earnings growth. 🏭 The Pulse πŸ“ˆ SVCE has respected its long-term rising channel since the beginning of 2024 without a confirmed breakdown. πŸ“Š Breaking above the upper boundary of this channel would require exceptionally strong buying momentum. πŸš€ For now, the stock is consolidating inside a sideways range just below the upper band of the main uptrend channel. πŸ”„ I would not chase the current price near resistance. ⏳ My preferred strategy is to wait for a healthy pullback toward the lower boundary of the rising channel. πŸ‘€ That area would offer a much more attractive long-term risk-reward opportunity. βœ… Until then, the stock remains a watch rather than a buy. βš–οΈ The Verdict 🎯 The long-term trend remains firmly bullish. πŸ“ˆ The turnaround story continues to improve the fundamental outlook. πŸ’ͺ However, the current technical position does not offer an attractive entry. ⏳ I will wait for a pullback toward the lower channel support before considering a long-term position. 🎯 Until then, SVCE stays on my watchlist. πŸ‘€ If you like my insights, follow and boost! πŸ™ŒπŸ’™πŸš€ 🎁 $15 TradingView Discount: https://www.tradingview.com/pricing/?share_your_love=mnmabroukw36ix βœ¨πŸ’ΈπŸ€‘