NVDA Forecast | Down 17% While Earnings Explode, Bounce to 204NVIDIA CorporationBATS:NVDAMuhammadTradesNVDA technical analysis on the 4H: Nvidia is trading around 194 after a 17% correction from the all time high at 236.54, and the selling is starting to look tired exactly where it should. Here is the disconnect that makes this trade. While price was falling, the business kept accelerating. Last quarter revenue came in at 81.6 billion dollars, up 85% year over year, with guidance near 91 billion for the next one. Confirmed orders for Blackwell and Rubin chips are reported around 500 billion dollars through the end of 2026. The stock went down 17% while demand went up. Corrections like that are positioning resets, not trend changes. Yes, there is a real headwind: Washington closed the loophole that let chips reach China through offshore subsidiaries, with estimates of a 5 to 16 billion dollar revenue impact. That is exactly what this correction has been pricing in for weeks. When a known negative is fully public, its power over price fades. Why I am long from 194.65: 📌 Price is stabilizing after the decline, with buyers stepping in repeatedly under 195 📌 The fundamental engine is untouched, AI infrastructure spending keeps trending up, not down 📌 Analyst consensus sits far above price, which means funds buying dips have room to defend 📌 The 4H structure shows momentum shifting while weak hands are still selling the China story 🎯 Target: 204, the supply shelf just above the 202 weekly area. Expect reactions at 199.6 and 200.7 on the way, those are checkpoints, not exits. Risk is defined below the recent consolidation. I never trade without a hard invalidation, and my full risk parameters are shared with my community. This week my systems fired on XAUUSD twice and EURGBP once, all on my profile. Same process, applied to Nvidia stock. Boost and follow to catch the updates as this plays out. Not financial advice. Trade your own plan. Direction: Long | Tags: NVDA, Nvidia, nvidiastock, NVDAforecast, technicalanalysis, AIstocks, stockmarket