USDJPY 4H: Technical Breakdown & Intervention Countdown

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USDJPY 4H: Technical Breakdown & Intervention CountdownUS Dollar vs. Japanese YenFX:USDJPYLIVERMORE333Current Situation: A 4H EMA death cross (sell signal) was triggered on July 3rd. I believe the recent decline is not yet actual intervention, but rather "precautionary selling" by algorithms reacting to verbal intervention from officials. Strategy: This technical breakdown provides a tactical window for authorities to conduct a physical intervention with maximum impact. Conversely, if no action is taken by July 10th, the risk of a re-test toward 162.837 will rise significantly. Action: Maintaining a short bias based on the clear sell signal. However, since the initial phase of an intervention causes extreme volatility, I will focus on strict position management while monitoring for official market action. Summary: Technicals and policy expectations are now aligned. I remain on high alert for an "intervention countdown," as the market landscape could shift drastically depending on the response from the MoF and BoJ. #USDJPY #Forex #Intervention #TradingStrategy #PriceAction