Bitcoin Eyes US CPIBitcoin / U.S. dollarBITSTAMP:BTCUSDYES_Group- Last Week Recap | 31 AUG–4 SEP 2026 BTC traded with high volatility over the past week. During the beginning of the week, Bitcoin came under pressure from ETF Outflows and concerns over the Fed's monetary policy stance as market expectations for a potential rate hike in September increased. Meanwhile, the US 10Y Yield rose above 4.8%, putting additional pressure on risk assets and causing Bitcoin to decline from around $81,000 to test the $77,000–78,000 zone. However, buying interest remained present at times. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded approximately $3.52B in total inflows during August, making it the month with the highest ETF inflows of 2026. This suggests that Institutional Demand remains an important supporting factor for Bitcoin, although ETF Flows became more volatile during the beginning of September. By the end of the week, BTC continued to trade within the $77,000–81,000 range. Overall, Bitcoin entered a consolidation phase after its strong rally in August, while the market continued to closely monitor the Fed's interest-rate outlook and ETF Flows as key drivers of short-term momentum. - Fundamental Analysis | 7–11 SEP 2026 BTC is expected to remain Sideway, with the market focusing on the US CPI for August on 10 September, which will be an important data point ahead of the Fed meeting on 15–16 September. If CPI comes in higher than expected, it could increase concerns that the Fed may maintain or potentially tighten monetary policy, supporting the Dollar and pushing Bond Yields higher. This could put additional pressure on risk assets such as Bitcoin. Conversely, a weaker-than-expected CPI could increase expectations for monetary policy easing and provide a positive catalyst for BTC. Another key factor is Spot Bitcoin ETF Flows. After recording approximately $3.52B in inflows during August, ETF activity became more volatile at the beginning of September, with alternating inflows and outflows. If ETF Flows turn consistently positive again, this could confirm continued Institutional Demand and support a recovery in BTC. However, increasing Outflows could create additional selling pressure in the short term. In addition, DXY and US Treasury Yields should be closely monitored, particularly following the stronger-than-expected August Nonfarm Payrolls of 162K, which increased market expectations for a potential Fed rate hike in September and could remain a headwind for Bitcoin in the short term. Overall: BTC has a Sideway to Bearish bias, with US CPI, Fed Rate Expectations, ETF Flows, DXY, and US Treasury Yields serving as the key variables. If CPI comes in below expectations and ETF Flows turn positive, BTC could see a recovery. However, higher-than-expected inflation combined with elevated Yields could pressure Bitcoin to extend its consolidation. Technical Analysis — BTCUSD 4H BTCUSD has a Sideway outlook after a strong upward move followed by a consolidation phase. The price is currently trading within the 78,608–82,280 range, while the EMA is beginning to flatten, indicating that the market is waiting for a clear directional breakout. If BTC can break out above 82,280, it would be a bullish signal and could open the way for further upside. Conversely, a break below 78,608 could trigger additional selling pressure and lead to a deeper correction. Bias: Sideway Resistance: 82,280 Support: 78,608 Target: 82,280 Cut Loss: Below 78,608