ETC Main Trend. Timeframe: 1 month. 09 2026Ethereum Classic / DollarBITFINEX:ETCUSDSpartaBTCLogarithm. 1-month time frame. The logic of the ascending channel of the main trend: On the 1-week time frame, it is broken (by breaking through the large triangle downwards and consolidating below the reversal zone). On the 1-month time frame, it is not broken yet, and the price is at its dynamic support. ❤️The halving of this cryptocurrency will happen very soon, approximately September 15, 2026. Previously, pump peaks occurred during the halving, or 7-8 months after. Since we're currently at lows, it's worth assuming that this second cyclical pattern will likely persist for this cryptocurrency. 🔄If this channel logic on the monthly timeframe persists (a breakdown on the weekly timeframe is a very bad sign for the global trend), then the price could rise into the previous long-term redistribution consolidation, lasting as long as 4.5 years (!), in the range of 15-33.27 with a median of 22.44, or even to the median of the ascending channel (dashed green line) after a peak of 7-8 months. 🔄📉 If the downward trend that began a year ago continues after some sideways consolidation, then the decline will fall into the 2018-2020 accumulation range (this is the #volatility zone with a potential of around +100%). This is also the range of the ascending channel of maximum price slippage (the purple dynamic trend line). A wave of price growth will likely follow from this zone. Then... In the first case, the channel does not break; the asset, as ETH's "parent," continues to trade cyclically within a large channel (the trend established in 2017 is not broken), despite the medium-term "scary pattern." 📉In the second case, things are much worse, as the decline of the huge "head and shoulders" pattern will be visible to everyone (after the peak of the "right shoulder"), and there will be no strong visual support (seeing buy orders being placed) from the trend channel, as in the first case. The asset will move into the high-risk "hush-hush" altcoins category, and this will further reduce its capitalization, and then, as in similar situations, everything will be as usual.