NOM/USDT | H1 | MOMENTUM LOSS ON LOW LIQUIDITYNomina / USDTMEXC:NOMUSDTTerminator_Crypto_Analyst🎯 TP1: $0.001690 (+6.24%) │ TP2: $0.001578 (+12.48%) 🛑 SL: $0.002008 (-11.35%) │ R/R: 1 : 1.1 ⚠️ SL placed beyond the nearest candle wicks to reduce the risk of accidental stop-out FUNDAMENTAL BACKGROUND In the absence of fresh project catalysts for NOM, the token moves solely based on the general market backdrop and technical factors. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index remains in the greed zone (69–71 points), which typically creates a moderately positive background for altcoins, but without its own momentum, NOM is unable to sustain an upward move. The next FOMC meeting on 16.09.2026 is the key macro driver for the next two weeks, and until then, the market will avoid aggressive buying. TECHNICAL PICTURE The price has settled below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish structure on the hourly chart. The Alligator indicator has switched to a "bullish" mode, but its lines are at zero levels, indicating a lack of formed trend momentum — the lines are essentially absent, only beginning to realign. The CCI at 74.5 is approaching the overbought zone but has not yet reached it, pointing to weakening buying pressure. A negative CMF at -0.114 confirms capital outflow: selling volumes exceed buying volumes despite the local price increase. Key resistance lies near $0.001840–0.001860 — the zone where the upper boundaries of the Ichimoku cloud and local highs are located. Support is at $0.001740–0.001720, a break of which would open the path to the range lows of $0.001516. PROBABILITY MODEL The market is in a sideways mode with a bearish bias: the probability of continued growth is estimated at 40%, while the probability of a bearish reversal is 31%, and sideways movement at 28%. The model captures a divergence between price growth and weak volumes (negative CMF), which is typical of a false breakout or momentum exhaustion. Confidence in the downside scenario is elevated due to the combination of negative cash flow and the price being below the Ichimoku cloud. DIRECTION 🔴 SELL Negative CMF and a position below the Ichimoku cloud indicate the predominance of sellers amid weakening buying momentum.