KATIE ROGERS2026年11月5日在共和党于中期选举中遭遇惨败后，特朗普总统是否会采取务实的谈判姿态与民主党达成协议，目前尚不得而知。 Doug Mills/The New York TimesOver the course of his life, Donald J. Trump has readily embraced many identities: A hotel developer. A reality television star. A president. A firebrand.在他的一生中，唐纳德·特朗普曾欣然接受许多身份：酒店开发商。真人秀明星。总统。煽动者。Now, at 80 years old, he is confronting one he would rather not: a lame duck.如今，80岁的他正面对一个他并不想要的身份：跛脚鸭。In the hours after voters put a check on the expansive power he has flexed in his second term, giving Democrats control of both the House and the Senate, Mr. Trump seemed to be cycling through the stages of grief. He denied that a blue wave across the country had been his fault, or a direct result of his decision to go to war with Iran. (The vice president explicitly said otherwise.) He accepted the election results. And, as he absorbed the waning power he will have in his final two years in office, he bargained, saying he’d work with Democrats while clinging to his veto Sharpie.选民制约了他在第二任期行使的广泛权力，让民主党控制众议院和参议院。之后数小时里，特朗普似乎正在经历悲伤的各个阶段。他否认席卷全国的蓝色浪潮是他的错，也不是他对伊朗开战决定的直接结果。（副总统明确表示并非如此。）他接受了选举结果。当他意识到自己在任期的最后两年里权力将日渐式微时，他开始讨价还价，说他愿与民主党合作，同时紧握手中那支用于行使否决权的Sharpie签字笔。“I’ll get along probably with the Democrats, unless they want to be destructive,” Mr. Trump told reporters on Wednesday, standing in front of a steel beam that was being put into place as part of his cherished White House ballroom project.“我大概能和民主党人相处得来，除非他们想搞破坏，”特朗普周三对记者说，当时他站在一根正在安装的钢梁前面——这是他心爱的白宫宴会厅项目的一部分。He noted that he had “the power to veto,” before turning to a topic he seemed much more eager to discuss: his renovation projects.他指出自己拥有“否决权”，然后转向一个他似乎更急于谈论的话题：他的翻修工程。Whether Mr. Trump adopts a pragmatic deal-making posture remains to be seen — one ally described the president as “dazed” after the rout on Tuesday.特朗普是否会采取务实的交易姿态仍有待观察——一名盟友形容，总统在周二惨败后显得“茫然失措”。After his loss in the 2020 presidential race, the last major political setback Mr. Trump confronted, he retreated to Mar-a-Lago, where he nursed his anger and then planned a defiant return. Once back in the White House, Mr. Trump had no use for compromise.在2020年总统竞选失败后——这是特朗普上一次面对重大政治挫折——他退居马阿拉歌庄园，在那里积蓄着愤怒，然后策划了一次挑衅性的回归。重返白宫后，特朗普对妥协不屑一顾。After a period spent as a political pariah and criminal defendant, Mr. Trump liked to say that he had gone from hunted to hunter. In his second term, his administration has tracked down his political enemies, unleashed a violent immigration crackdown and started a war that has made life more expensive for Americans. He didn’t need Congress to do any of it.在经历了一段作为政治弃儿和刑事被告的时期后，特朗普喜欢说，自己从猎物变成了猎人。在第二任期内，他的政府追查政治敌人，发动暴力的打击移民行动，并发动了一场导致美国人生活成本上升的战争。他做这一切都不需要国会批准。2025年就职典礼当天，特朗普签署了数十项行政命令，以此开启了他的第二个任期。即使国会由民主党掌控，这些行政命令仍是他可以继续使用的工具。But on Tuesday, that dynamic flipped again. Democrats are vowing to investigate government abuses, alleged corruption by the president’s associates and the heavy-handed tactics of Immigration and Customs Enforcement. House lawmakers plan to scrutinize top officials involved in the administration’s immigration agenda, including the White House deputy chief of staff Stephen Miller; Tom Homan, Mr. Trump’s border czar; and the homeland security secretary, Markwayne Mullin, according to a person with knowledge of the discussions.但周二，这种态势再次翻转。民主党人誓言调查政府滥权行为、总统亲信涉嫌腐败，以及移民和海关执法局的强硬手段。据一名了解讨论的人士说，众议院议员计划审查参与政府移民议程的高级官员，包括白宫副幕僚长史蒂芬·米勒、特朗普的边境事务负责人汤姆·霍曼和国土安全部长马克韦恩·马林。“LAWYER UP,” Representative Robert Garcia, the California Democrat poised to lead the House Oversight Committee, wrote on social media.“请律师吧，”即将领导众议院监督委员会的加州民主党众议员罗伯特·加西亚在社交媒体上写道。The political pressure could make for an unpredictable two years for both Mr. Trump and the country, according to people who have observed firsthand his volatile personality and his refusal to acknowledge mistakes.据那些亲眼观察过特朗普反复无常且拒绝承认错误的人说，这种政治压力可能使特朗普和国家在未来两年中都充满不可预测性。“When you look at things like his ability to do executive orders and grant pardons and all of these things, he’s going to still be doing enormous damage,” said Sarah Matthews, a former White House deputy press secretary who resigned after the attack on the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021. “And it’s just going to get even more chaotic and dangerous in these next two years.”“看看他签署行政命令、授予特赦这些能力，他仍然会造成巨大破坏，”前白宫副新闻秘书萨拉·马修斯说。她在2021年1月6日国会大厦袭击后辞职。“而且接下来两年只会变得更加混乱和危险。”Political rivals believe that Mr. Trump, who has asserted his dominance over the Republican Party for the better part of the last decade, will also do everything to maintain his grip on a party that he effectively reshaped in his image.政治对手认为，过去近十年大部分时间里一直主导共和党的特朗普也会不遗余力地维持他对该党的掌控，毕竟这个党派已被他按照自己的形象重塑。在中期选举竞选活动的最后几天，特朗普在佛罗里达州代托纳比奇市参加了一场竞选集会。“Donald Trump needs attention like most people need oxygen,” said former Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey, a Republican who is considering another presidential run in 2028. “He can’t do without it, and he’s now going to experience for the first time in his political career being a lame duck. So what he’ll need to do is to act out even more than he normally does in order to divert you from the 2028 race.”“唐纳德·特朗普需要关注，就像大多数人需要氧气一样，”前新泽西州州长、正考虑2028年再次竞选总统的共和党人克里斯·克里斯蒂说。“他离不开它，而现在他将首次在政治生涯中体验跛脚鸭的滋味。所以他需要做的就是比平常更加卖力表演，转移你对2028年竞选的注意力。”Mr. Trump has so far been vague about how he wants to spend the next two years, telling the podcaster and former top F.B.I. official Dan Bongino in an interview on Tuesday that he has “many, many things in the hopper.”特朗普迄今对自己未来两年的计划含糊其辞。他周二在接受播客主持人、前联邦调查局高级官员丹·邦吉诺采访时说，他有“很多很多事情正在筹备中”。He did not elaborate and instead pivoted into a standard part of his stump speech: “You know, right now we have more factories and plants being built in the United States than at any time ever before, and that means the Roaring Twenties, that means every — there’s never been anything like it.” (Manufacturing has actually slowed since 2024, according to the National Association of Manufacturers.)他没有详细说明，而是转向竞选演讲的惯用论调：“你知道，现在美国正在建设的工厂和厂房比历史上任何时候都多，这超过了咆哮的20年代，意味着所有——以前从来没有过这样的事。”（根据全国制造商协会的数据，制造业实际上自2024年以来已经放缓。）He suggested in interviews that he might seek to join forces with his political opponents on the debt ceiling and immigration enforcement — two thorny policy issues that have bedeviled past administrations.他在采访中表示，他可能会在债务上限和移民执法方面寻求与政治对手合作，这两个棘手的政策问题曾困扰历届政府。And he repeatedly invoked his ability to veto legislation, implicitly underscoring how much he will be on defense in his last two years in office.他还反复提及自己否决立法的能力，含蓄强调他在最后两年任期内将面临多么严峻的防守局面。In his first public appearance after Election Day, Mr. Trump stood before reporters at the White House on Wednesday and talked not about any lessons learned, or the path forward for the Republican Party. Instead, he mused about his ballroom project and his own future, particularly the subject of impeachment.周三，在选举日后的首次公开露面中，特朗普在白宫面对记者，谈的不是吸取任何教训，也不是共和党的前进道路，而是谈起自己的宴会厅项目和自身的未来，尤其是弹劾这个话题。“I think it would destroy the Democrat Party if they did that — impeachment for no reason,” Mr. Trump said. “What, for having a successful country? Our country is more successful now than at any time in history.”“我认为，如果他们那么做——毫无理由地弹劾——会毁掉民主党，”特朗普说。“为什么，就因为国家成功？我们的国家现在比历史上任何时候都更成功。”He paused, turning his focus back on the ballroom construction.他停顿了一下，把注意力转回宴会厅建设。“Watch the beam go up,” he said. “Now envision chandeliers all over.”“看那根钢梁升起来，”他说。“现在想象一下，到处都是吊灯。”Several top aides had already been planning for what Mr. Trump could accomplish through executive power alone if Republicans lost one or both chambers of Congress. Those involved include Mr. Miller; Russell T. Vought, the White House budget director; and members of the White House legislative affairs staff, according to a White House official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to describe internal discussions. The president would receive a “menu of options” soon, the person said.几名高级助手已经在规划，如果共和党失去国会一院或两院，特朗普仅靠行政权力能完成什么。据一名要求匿名描述内部讨论的白宫官员说，参与者包括米勒、白宫预算主任拉塞尔·沃特以及白宫立法事务团队成员。这名人士说，总统很快将收到一份“备选方案清单”。A hushed conversation of what comes next for Mr. Trump’s presidency and those around him played out on Tuesday night inside the White House, where Mr. Trump gathered aides and cabinet members in the East Room for what turned into a morose watch party. As the president watched the returns and fielded phone calls, some of the people around him quietly discussed whether Mr. Trump would keep in place members of his cabinet or his chief of staff, Susie Wiles, according to two people who attended.周二晚上，白宫内部上演了一场关于特朗普总统任期及其身边人接下来会怎样的低声交谈。特朗普在东厅召集助手和内阁成员，结果变成一场阴郁的观选派对。据两名出席者说，当总统观看结果并接听电话时，他身边一些人私下讨论特朗普是否会留任内阁成员或幕僚长苏西·威尔斯。The White House did not respond to a request for comment.白宫没有回应置评请求。Administration officials and Mr. Trump’s allies said the president and his staff were girding themselves for both congressional investigations and high turnover for the remainder of his time in office.政府官员和特朗普盟友说，总统及其团队正在为国会调查和剩余任期内的高层更替做好准备。周三凌晨，少数党领袖、纽约州众议员哈基姆·杰弗里斯与马萨诸塞州众议员凯瑟琳·克拉克（左）和华盛顿州众议员苏珊·德尔贝内一同庆祝了民主党在选举中取得的压倒性胜利。Some expressed anxiety that there had been little guidance for staff about what to do if they got pulled into investigations, other than a briefing earlier this year advising them generally how to respond to congressional oversight.一些人表示焦虑，除了今年早些时候一次关于如何应对国会监督的一般性简报外，工作人员几乎没有收到关于若被卷入调查应如何应对的指导。As the political conversation turns to the next cycle, Mr. Trump indicated that he was not ready to name a political heir or back a candidate to succeed him in 2028. Asked by Martha MacCallum of Fox News late Tuesday evening whether he wanted a Republican primary to determine the 2028 presidential nominee, the president said, “I think it’s going to end up being somewhat of that.”随着政治话题转向下一个周期，特朗普表示他尚未准备指定政治继承人，或支持2028年接替他的候选人。周二深夜，福克斯新闻的玛莎·麦卡勒姆问他是否希望举行共和党初选来决定2028年总统候选人，总统说：“我认为最后情况大概会是那样。”By Wednesday morning, Vice President JD Vance had posted a lengthy message on social media placing blame for Republican losses on the decision to go to war with Iran, an apparent effort to separate himself from Mr. Trump.到周三上午，副总统万斯已在社交媒体发布长文，把共和党失利归咎于对伊朗开战的决定，显然是在试图与特朗普保持距离。Several people close to the president say they believe that he is unlikely to endorse Mr. Vance — or anyone else — anytime soon. Mr. Trump is an entertainer above all, they say, and he will want to stay in the spotlight.几位接近总统的人说，他们认为特朗普不太可能很快背书万斯——或者任何其他人。他们说，特朗普首先是一个表演者，他会想要留在聚光灯下。Zolan Kanno-Youngs自华盛顿对本文有报道贡献。Katie Rogers是《纽约时报》白宫记者，报道特朗普总统相关新闻。翻译：纽约时报中文网点击查看本文英文版。