DOW JONES Best strategy on 17 years of accurate Buy-Sell levels

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DOW JONES Best strategy on 17 years of accurate Buy-Sell levelsDow Jones Industrial Average IndexTVC:DJITradingShotDow Jones (DJIA) has been trading within a Channel Up since the March 2009 bottom of the U.S. Housing Crisis. During the course of this multi-year trend, the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) has acted as the long-term Support and the ultimate buy entry for long-term buying. So far we've had 4 major correction events (Bearish Legs) within this pattern (excluding the non-technical March 2020 COVID crash and the March 2025 Tariff crash). The common characteristic of those has been that the index pulled back to at least the middle of the 0.236 - 0.382 Fibonacci range. With the exception of December 2018 (which still broke way below its 1W MA100 (red trend-line)), the other three corrections also hit the 1M MA50. As you can see, every time Dow hit the 1M MA50 (even on the March 2020 COVID flash-crash), it took it 51 months the longest until the next 1M MA50 contact. Right now the market has gone the longest without such a correction since 2015. It actually looks a lot like the 2015 peak pattern, given also the fact that the 1M CCI has printed the same Triple Top formation (red circles). If therefore, the 51 month range holds then we should be expecting the next 1M MA50 contact by December 2026, which indicates that Dow should start declining aggressively soon. Since however that would need a major catalyst to dip that low on such a short time (even stronger than Fed Rate hikes and/ or worse geopolitics), we expect Dow to reach at least its 0.236 Fib by that time at 47000, which would also be a perfect test of the 1W MA100, that has been untouched since April 2025! If the market gets that catalyst and drops lower towards its 1M MA50 within Q1 2027, a 0.382 test could take place within 44500 - 43000. That would also enter the 0.5 - 0.382 Fibonacci Zone (green Zone) of the 17-year Channel Up, which is where the 2022, 2018, 2015 and 2011 bottoms took place. Similarly the 0.786 - 1.0 Fib range of the Channel (red Zone), has been a Sell opportunity, which is where the index currently is. Notice how the 1M RSI has historically given us the most optimal long-term buy entry combined with the 1M MA50. And that is the 47.50 Support, which as you can see every time it got hit (green circles), the market was at or very close to a bottom. So our base scenario for Dow is 47000, to make contact with the 1W MA100 and the 0.236 Fib level. The 1M MA50 would be monitored in case of an extended correction on a massive catalyst. If however the 1M RSI hits its 47.50 Support before Dow hits any price Target, then we will turn into long-term buyers again regardless of the price at the time. --- ** Please LIKE πŸ‘, FOLLOW βœ…, SHARE πŸ™Œ and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- πŸ’ΈπŸ’ΈπŸ’ΈπŸ’ΈπŸ’ΈπŸ’Έ πŸ‘‡ πŸ‘‡ πŸ‘‡ πŸ‘‡ πŸ‘‡ πŸ‘‡