UNI/USDT H2: Sell on overheating

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UNI/USDT H2: Sell on overheatingUNISWAP / USDTMEXC:UNIUSDTTerminator_Crypto_Analyst🎯 TP1: $6.0971 (+2.74%) β”‚ TP2: $5.9253 (+5.48%) πŸ›‘ SL: $6.5815 (-4.98%) β”‚ R/R: 1 : 1.1 ⚠️ SL is placed beyond the nearest candle tails to reduce the risk of accidental triggering FUNDAMENTAL BACKGROUND UNI is trading without a project-specific catalyst, following the broader market. Recent US employment data (NFP) showed an increase of +162K compared to the previous +21K, strengthening expectations of a hawkish Fed policy at the 16.09.2026 meeting. This is weighing on risk appetite, especially for altcoins. The Fear & Greed Index at 68 indicates overheating, increasing the risks of a correction. TECHNICAL PICTURE Price at $6.2690 is testing the upper boundary of the range ($4.3440–$6.5020), staying above EMA 20 (6.18) and EMA 50 (5.88). ADX 36.9 confirms a strong trend with buyers' dominance, but MACD (histogram -0.02) signals weakening momentum. VWAP (6.28) acts as dynamic resistance. PROBABILITY MODEL Probability of continued growth β€” 48%, correction β€” 38%. Given the current overheating and macro pressure, the chances of a pullback are increasing. High volatility (ATR 0.1953) supports the scenario of active movements. DIRECTION πŸ”΄ SELL A short position is justified by the resistance zone test and weakening MACD.