ZEC/USDT | H1 | ZEC LOSING MOMENTUM AMID SHIFT IN POWER BALANCEZcash / USDTMEXC:ZECUSDTTerminator_Crypto_Analyst🎯 TP1: $800.42 (+1.36%) │ TP2: $789.41 (+2.71%) 🛑 SL: $831.45 (-2.47%) │ R/R: 1 : 1.1 ⚠️ SL placed beyond the nearest candle wicks to reduce the risk of accidental stop-outs FUNDAMENTAL BACKGROUND ZEC has a fresh project catalyst: news about accelerating private transactions via Zakura Common and native swaps through THORChain enhance the coin's practical utility. However, current price action suggests the market has already priced in this positive development, and the asset is now consolidating before the next move. The overall backdrop for altcoins remains supportive, with the Fear and Greed Index in the "Greed" zone, which typically fuels demand for risk assets. Nevertheless, no significant macro releases for the asset are expected in the coming days, so ZEC is moving primarily on technicals and internal flows. TECHNICAL PICTURE The price is stuck inside the Ichimoku cloud, indicating uncertainty and a lack of a clear trend. The Tenkan-sen (804.81) and Kijun-sen (814.34) lines have crossed, forming a "death cross" — a signal of weakening bullish momentum. ADX at 23.6 confirms a moderate trend, but with sellers in the lead, pointing to a gradual shift in initiative toward the bears. CCI 20 (-41.8) is below the zero line, signaling buyer weakness, while CMF (-0.017) is in negative territory, indicating a slight capital outflow from the asset. Key resistance lies at the upper cloud boundary (828.63), while support is at the lower boundary (809.57) and the local Tenkan-sen low (804.81). ATR (12.5) suggests the potential for a strong move upon a breakout of the current range. PROBABILITY MODEL Although the current regime is classified as "bullish," the probability model gives only 42% for continued growth versus 31% for a bearish reversal. Model confidence is high (75%), and it records that the market has entered a revaluation phase. The priority scenario is a decline toward the lower cloud boundary and below, as technical indicators point to exhaustion of the upward momentum. DIRECTION 🔴 SELL The price has met resistance at the Kijun-sen and is under pressure from negative CMF and CCI.