详解美加贸易战:北美传统盟友关系因何破裂

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《纽约时报》2026年8月24日周六,加拿大总理马克·卡尼在一次强硬讲话中表示,该国正受到特朗普总统关税的“攻击”,与美国处于“战争”状态。 Chris Tanouye/ReutersTalks between the United States and Canada failed late Friday to head off steep new tariffs on Canadian goods, prompting Canada to promise “dollar for dollar” retaliation.美国与加拿大之间的谈判于周五晚间破裂,美国将对加拿大商品加征高额新关税,加拿大承诺将采取“等额”报复措施。Prime Minister Mark Carney of Canada said he had suspended the talks because the American side had introduced last-minute terms that were “unfair, uneconomic and called into question the reliability of any deal.” Then on Saturday, in a powerful speech to Canadians, Mr. Carney said Canada was under attack by President Trump’s tariffs and was “at war” with the United States.加拿大总理马克·卡尼表示,他暂停了谈判,因为美方在最后时刻提出了“不公平、有违经济常理且令人对任何协议的可靠性产生怀疑”的条件。随后在周六向加拿大人发表的强硬讲话中,卡尼表示加拿大正受到特朗普总统关税的“攻击”,并称加拿大与美国处于“战争”状态。Didn’t President Trump say there was a deal?特朗普总统不是说过已达成协议了吗?He did, twice. On Tuesday, he said the two countries had reached a deal aside from some details and had extended an earlier deadline that would have introduced the new tariffs.是的,他说过两次。周二,他表示两国已达成协议,只有一些细节尚待商榷,另外还延长了之前本将开始实施新关税的截止日期。On Friday, only hours before the two sides announced the collapse of the negotiations, Mr. Trump said he thought a deal could be reached.周五,就在双方宣布谈判破裂的几个小时前,特朗普还表示他认为可以达成协议。Why did negotiations fall apart?谈判为何破裂?Mr. Carney blamed last-minute demands for the collapse of negotiations. He said, among other things, that American negotiators pushed to roll back Canada’s efforts to promote Canadian, including French-language, content in online streaming services; subsidies for industries like publishing and film production; and even mandatory labeling in French as well as English on packaging. French is an official language in Canada.卡尼将谈判破裂归咎于美方最后一刻的要求。他表示,美方谈判代表要求加拿大停止在在线流媒体服务中推广加拿大内容,包括法语内容;取消对出版、电影制作等行业的补贴;甚至取消包装上必须同时使用法语和英语标注的规定。法语是加拿大的官方语言之一。Speaking to reporters on Friday, a U.S. official said Canada wanted concessions that the United States wasn’t prepared to give, particularly when it came to the automotive sector, as well as trade in steel, aluminum and lumber.一位美国官员周五对记者表示,加拿大希望获得美国不愿做出的让步,尤其是在汽车行业以及钢铁、铝和木材贸易方面。Carney’s fighting words.卡尼的战斗檄文。Slamming the U.S. proposal as “a bad deal,” Mr. Carney’s forceful speech on Saturday made it clear that he considered Mr. Trump’s tariffs an attack on Canada. “We’ve recognized from the start that America has changed,” he said. “We recognize that sometimes, its signature is written in pencil.”卡尼在周六的强硬讲话中抨击美国的提议是“一份糟糕的协议”,并明确表示他认为特朗普的关税是对加拿大的攻击。“我们从一开始就认识到美国已经变了,”他说。“我们也认识到,有时它的签名是用铅笔写的。”“We cannot accept what they offered and we will not give what they asked,” he added. “We were not prepared to compromise Canada’s sovereignty or undermine our key industries.”“我们不能接受他们提出的条件,也不会满足他们的要求,”他补充道。“我们不准备在加拿大主权上做妥协,也不准备削弱我们的关键产业。”Mr. Carney, who is burnishing his reputation as a leader who will stand up to Mr. Trump, said Canada would retaliate against the new tariffs “to protect our workers and businesses.”卡尼正在巩固自己作为敢于对抗特朗普的领导人的声誉,他表示加拿大将对新关税进行报复,“以保护我们的工人和企业”。在谈判暂停前几个小时,特朗普还表示他认为可以达成协议。 Geoff Robins/Agence France-Presse — Getty ImagesWhat is the U.S. saying?美方有何说法?The United States had offered to reduce its tariffs on steel, aluminum and autos, and to eliminate a recently imposed tariff on Canadian lumber, before the negotiations suddenly collapsed, the U.S. trade representative, Jamieson Greer, told The New York Times in an interview on Saturday.美国贸易代表贾米森·格里尔周六在接受《纽约时报》采访时表示,在谈判突然破裂之前,美国曾提议降低对钢铁、铝和汽车的关税,并取消最近对加拿大木材加征的关税。Early Sunday morning, Mr. Trump wrote on his social media platform, Truth Social, that Canada wanted the “benefits of being a State, without being one!!! They have also charged our great farmers, for many years, massive amounts of Tariffs. No more!!!”周日清晨,特朗普在其社交媒体平台Truth Social上写道,加拿大想要“作为美国一个州的好处,却不想成为一州!!!他们还多年来向我们伟大的农民征收巨额关税。不能再这样了!!!”But he did not seem to respond directly to Mr. Carney’s muscular speech against the United States.但他似乎并未直接回应卡尼针对美国的强硬讲话。What will the U.S. impose tariffs on?美国将对哪些商品加征关税?The new tariffs account for $20 billion of the $382 billion worth of products Americans bought from Canada last year and cover a wide array of goods, from fake mustaches to dog leashes.新关税涉及去年美国从加拿大购买的3820亿美元产品中的200亿美元,涵盖从假胡须到狗绳等广泛商品。The full list of more than 500 products can be found here, here and here.包含500多种产品的完整清单可参见此处、此处和此处。The lists single out several industries, particularly forestry, a sector long targeted by the United States. Building products, especially plywood, are affected, as well as other products like tissue used to make toilet paper. Dairy products, clothing and alcohol are also on the lists.清单特别针对多个行业,尤其是林业——这一长期被美国瞄准的领域。建筑材料(特别是胶合板)以及用于制造卫生纸的原纸等产品受到影响。乳制品、服装和酒类也在清单上。Many of the tariffs are on products like honey that often come from small businesses, likely without the financial means to withstand a substantial loss of business for any sustained period.许多关税针对的是蜂蜜等通常来自小企业的产品,这些小企业很可能没有财力承受任何持续性的重大业务损失。The collapse of the talks also means that Canada did not roll back the tariffs of up to 50 percent that Mr. Trump put on the auto, aluminum and steel industries last year. The president also added 10 percent tariffs on softwood lumber tariffs of 35 percent.谈判破裂也意味着加拿大未能撤销特朗普去年对汽车、铝和钢铁行业加征的高达50%的关税。总统还对软木材增加了一项10%的关税,使总税率达到35%。The tariffs came into effect on Saturday. Canada’s retaliatory tariffs come into effect on Sept. 8, Mr. Carney said.新关税于周六生效。卡尼表示,加拿大的报复性关税将于9月8日生效。今年在加拿大阿尔伯塔省采伐的软木材。 Daphne Lemelin/Agence France-Presse — Getty ImagesWhat goods face Canada’s retaliatory tariffs?哪些商品将面临加拿大的报复性关税?The government has yet to unveil its list. But Mr. Carney said it would largely target “steel, dairy, appliances, agricultural equipment, pulp and paper, electronics.”政府尚未公布清单。但卡尼表示,将主要针对“钢铁、乳制品、家电、农业设备、纸浆和纸张、电子产品”。Doug Ford, the premier of Ontario, Canada’s most populous province, is urging Mr. Carney to place export taxes on oil, gas and electricity, as well as critical minerals. Energy is, by far, the largest Canadian export to the United States.加拿大人口最多的省份安大略省省长道格·福特敦促卡尼对石油、天然气和电力以及关键矿产征收出口税。能源是迄今为止加拿大对美最大的出口产品。Weren’t things already tense?此前局势不就已经紧张了吗?Yes. Since Mr. Trump began his second term, relations between the United States and Canada have been strained.是的。自特朗普开始第二任期以来,美国与加拿大之间的关系一直紧张。Not only has Mr. Trump targeted Canada with tariffs, he has insulted its leaders, suggested the border is an arbitrary line, and repeatedly proposed the nation be annexed as the 51st state. He said he was willing to inflict “economic pain” on Canada to get what he wanted, and recently said the country only “lives because of the United States.”特朗普不仅用关税打击加拿大,还侮辱其领导人,暗示边境线是一条主观划定的线,并多次提议将加拿大吞并为美国第51个州。他曾表示愿意对加拿大施加“经济痛苦”以得到他想要的东西,最近还称加拿大“之所以存在,全靠美国”。In a speech in Davos, Switzerland, in January, Mr. Carney said that the United States was no longer a guarantor of stability, and that middle powers like Canada must unite to survive. The speech, and its enthusiastic global reception, angered Mr. Trump.今年1月,卡尼在瑞士达沃斯的一次演讲中表示美国不再是稳定的保障者,并称像加拿大这样的中等强国必须团结起来才能生存。这场演讲及其在全球的热烈反响激怒了特朗普。Also, on July 1, Canada’s national holiday, the Trump administration declined to renew the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement on trade for another 16 years. That means the agreement will now undergo annual reviews.此外,在7月1日加拿大国庆日,特朗普政府拒绝将美加墨贸易协定再续期16年。这意味着该协定现在将接受年度审查。Asked how the new U.S. tariffs will affect the agreement’s continued renewal, Mr. Carney said, in French, that “it certainly isn’t good news.”当被问及美国的新关税将如何影响该协定的持续续签时,卡尼用法语回答说:“这肯定不是好消息。”翻译:经雷点击查看本文英文版。