Monday – Wednesday, Aug 24–26E-mini S&P 500 FuturesCME_MINI:ES1!Vitaly-WawThe High-Impact Window (Monday – Wednesday, Aug 24–26) **Focus: The PCE Trigger & The 7700 Pivot** * **Sentiment:** **Bearish / Volatility Expansion.** * **Analysis:** The most critical data point is the **Core PCE Price Index (Wednesday 08:30 AM)**. 1. **The Bull Trap:** Any rally on Monday/Tuesday toward **7730* is viewed as a liquidity event for institutions to add to their short positions. 2. **The Trigger:** If Core PCE comes in $\geq$ 0.3% (meeting or exceeding forecast), the "Fed Trade" will turn aggressively bearish. The market will likely accelerate its slide toward the **7500–7600 Decision Zone**. 3. **Intraday Strategy:** * **Fade the Rip:** Short rallies into **7700-7730**. * **Momentum Short:** If ES breaks and holds below **7660** (Friday's low), the first target **7617,25**. 4. **The PCE Play:** If PCE is hot, the move to **7550** will be rapid. 5. If the speech is hawkish (confirming rates stay high to fight the PCE inflation), the "structural floor" of **7400** becomes the primary target.