AERO/USDT H2: Sellers dominate on a moderate trendAerodrome Finance / USDTMEXC:AEROUSDTTerminator_Crypto_Analystπ― TP1: $0.494989 (+4.00%) β TP2: $0.474800 (+7.91%) π SL: $0.556848 (-8.00%) β R/R: 1 : 0.99 β οΈ Stop is wider than TP2 target (R/R < 1) β the closer target is hit more often, but adjust position size according to the stop. FUNDAMENTAL BACKGROUND AERO is moving without its own catalyst, following the general crypto market uptrend. The Fear & Greed Index is in Extreme Greed (83), indicating overheating and increasing the risk of a correction. Today, the US Core PCE Price Index data will be published at 12:30 GMT β forecast 0.2% vs. previous 0.1%. TECHNICAL PICTURE Price is below EMA20 ($0.52) and VWAP ($0.53), confirming seller pressure. ADX 20.4 shows a moderate trend with their dominance. MACD is near the zero line, but the histogram is negative β momentum is weak. Key resistance is the $0.53β0.54 zone (intersection of EMA20 and VWAP). PROBABILITY MODEL Probability of a bearish scenario β 53%, correction to $0.5 (EMA50). Model confidence of 75% is supported by market overbought conditions and technical signals. DIRECTION π΄ SELL β Price is below key moving averages with negative MACD momentum.