JOHN YOON2026年8月24日自伊朗战争爆发以来，服务于首尔的仁川国际机场的中转客流量急剧上升。 Kim Hong-Ji/ReutersFlying across the world? You’re now more likely to stop in Asia than you would have been before war broke out in the Middle East.计划飞越全球？与中东爆发战争前相比，你现在更有可能在亚洲中转。Major Persian Gulf airlines like Emirates, Qatar Airways and Etihad dominated intercontinental travel before the war, accounting for roughly a third of the traffic between Europe and Asia and about one in two travelers between Europe and Australia.战争之前，阿联酋航空、卡塔尔航空和阿提哈德航空等波斯湾主要航空公司主导着洲际旅行，约占欧洲和亚洲之间客流量的三分之一，以及欧洲和澳大利亚之间旅客量的大约一半。But transfer traffic in the Middle East on routes connecting Asia to Europe has nearly halved since the war started in late February, according to one estimate.但据一项估计，自2月底战争爆发以来，在连接亚洲和欧洲的航线上，中东地区的中转客流量已减少了近一半。And for now at least, travelers between Asia, Australia and Europe who once flew through the Middle East are taking nonstop flights or transiting through airports like Hong Kong, Istanbul, Seoul and Singapore. Airlines have added flights to handle this new demand.至少在目前，曾经途经中东往返于亚洲、澳大利亚和欧洲之间的旅客正在选择直飞航班，或通过香港、伊斯坦布尔、首尔和新加坡等地的机场进行中转。航空公司已增加航班以应对这一新需求。Here’s how the war is reshuffling international flights, and why this is an opportunity for Asian airports and airlines.以下是关于战争如何重组国际航班，以及为何这对亚洲的机场和航空公司来说是一种机遇。How we got here事态发展历程The major Middle Eastern hubs — Dubai and Abu Dhabi in the United Arab Emirates, and Doha in Qatar — sit at the intersection of Africa, Asia and Europe, a few hours by air from most of the world’s population. They grew rapidly over the past two decades with hefty government backing.中东的主要枢纽——阿联酋的迪拜、阿布扎比和卡塔尔的多哈——坐落于非洲、亚洲和欧洲的交汇处，乘飞机距离世界上大多数人口都只有几个小时的航程。在政府的大力支持下，它们在过去的20年里迅速发展。Last year, 16 percent of the world’s 417 million connecting passengers transited through the region, according to the International Air Transport Association, the airline trade group.航空贸易组织国际航空运输协会的数据显示，去年全球4.17亿中转旅客中，有16%通过该地区中转。But after the war started, the drop was stark. Middle Eastern transfer traffic on routes connecting Asia and Western Europe fell by 47 percent in April year-over-year, according to Alton Aviation Consultancy, an advisory firm headquartered in New York.但在战争爆发后，下降幅度非常明显。总部位于纽约的咨询公司奥尔顿航空咨询表示，4月份连接亚洲和西欧航线上的中东中转客流量同比下降了47%。As the conflict dragged on and airports in Doha, Dubai and Abu Dhabi were targeted by airstrikes, many flights were suspended or rerouted. Some governments urged passengers not to travel through the region.随着冲突的持续，加上多哈、迪拜和阿布扎比的机场遭到空袭，许多航班被暂停或改变航线。一些国家政府也敦促乘客不要途经该地区。“People have been looking for alternative routes,” said John Strickland, an aviation consultant in London. “Asian hubs have been natural alternatives.”“人们一直在寻找替代航线，”伦敦航空顾问约翰·斯特里克兰说。“亚洲的航空枢纽成了天然的替代选择。”3月，迪拜国际机场空荡荡的到达大厅。Major Asian airports handled massive traffic before the war and had the infrastructure to process more flights and travelers.亚洲的主要机场在战争爆发前就处理着庞大的客流量，并具备处理更多航班和旅客的基础设施。IATA reported in May that bookings for June to September had fallen across all regions except the Asia-Pacific, where they grew 33 percent year-over-year. It also said in July that bookings to the region had expanded the most at the height of the war disruptions.国际航空运输协会在5月报告称，除亚太地区外，所有地区6月至9月的预订量均有所下降，而亚太地区的预订量同比增长了33%。该协会在7月还表示，在战争干扰最严重的时期，飞往该地区的预订量增幅最大。Airports机场This has been good for Asian hubs.这对亚洲的航空枢纽来说是个利好。Incheon International Airport, which serves greater Seoul, said this month that its transfer traffic in the first half of 2026 had increased by 18 percent year-over-year, and by 63 percent on European routes. That helped make it the busiest international airport in the world in that period, according to preliminary internal data from the trade group Airports Council International that Incheon provided to The New York Times.服务于大首尔地区的仁川国际机场本月表示，2026年上半年其中转客流量同比增长了18%，其中欧洲航线客流量增长了63%。根据仁川机场向《纽约时报》提供的行业组织国际机场理事会的初步内部数据，这助推其成为这一时期内世界上最繁忙的国际机场。Incheon said that it had risen from third place — surpassing Dubai International Airport and London’s Heathrow Airport — because the geopolitical crisis had pushed travelers away from the Gulf hubs.仁川机场表示，其排名是从第三位跃升至首位——超越了迪拜国际机场和伦敦希思罗机场，因为地缘政治危机迫使旅客远离了海湾地区的枢纽。The data also shows that international passenger traffic at Hong Kong International Airport grew by more than 11 percent in the same period, and nearly 10 percent at Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport.数据还显示，同期香港国际机场的国际客流量增长了超过11%，台湾桃园国际机场增长了近10%。Singapore’s Changi Airport, the connecting point for about one in four passengers traveling between Europe and Australia, said that airlines had added more than 800 flights between Singapore and cities like London, Munich, Paris and Sydney between March and July.新加坡樟宜机场是往返于欧洲和澳大利亚之间约四分之一乘客的中转站。该机场表示，在3月至7月期间，各航空公司在新加坡与伦敦、慕尼黑、巴黎和悉尼等城市之间增加了800多个航班。往返欧洲和澳大利亚的旅客中，约四分之一选择新加坡樟宜机场作为中转站。These airports stand to benefit because travelers, whether landing or transiting, pay passenger fees. Each traveler also spends roughly $7.57 on average on airport shopping, dining and other nonaviation expenses that are critical to airports’ financial viability, according to Airports Council International.这些机场将从中受益，因为无论是降落还是中转的旅客都会支付乘客费。国际机场理事会的数据显示，每位旅客平均还会在机场的购物、餐饮和其他非航空类消费上花费约7.57美元，而这些对于机场的财务生存能力至关重要。Airlines航空公司The disruption has also helped airlines outside the Middle East capture more customers.这种干扰也帮助了中东以外的航空公司吸引了更多的客户。A snapshot:概况如下：• In April, Cathay Pacific, a Hong Kong airline, said that a 24 percent rise in passengers in March compared with the same month last year was a result of shifting demand created by the “ongoing situation in the Middle East.”• 4月，香港的航空公司国泰航空表示，3月乘客数量同比增加24%，这是由“中东持续局势”引发的需求转移所致。• Singapore Airlines attributed its 7-percent rise in passenger traffic to the rerouting of travel to Europe and the Americas.• 新加坡航空将其客流量7%的增长归因于飞往欧洲和美洲的旅行路线改变。• Turkish Airlines reported earlier this month that it had added capacity to China, Hong Kong and Thailand as passengers avoided flying to, or through, the Middle East.• 土耳其航空本月早些时候报告称，由于乘客避免飞往或途经中东，该公司增加了飞往中国、香港和泰国的运力。• Lufthansa Group said in May that its airlines had added additional flights, particularly to Asia and Africa, while Air France said in June that it had redeployed aircraft to meet surging demand on Asian routes.• 汉莎航空集团在5月表示，其旗下航空公司增加了航班，特别是飞往亚洲和非洲的航班；而法国航空在6月表示，已重新部署飞机以满足亚洲航线激增的需求。5月，香港国际机场新扩建的二号航站楼。Where we go from here未来走向It remains unclear how long this trend will last. As Iran and the United States settle into an uneasy standoff, the threat of a flare-up remains. But the major Middle East airlines have started to rebuild passenger confidence and aggressively reduced prices, and aviation experts said the windfall in Asia is already eroding as a result.目前尚不清楚这种趋势将持续多久。随着伊朗和美国陷入令人不安的僵局，冲突加剧的威胁依然存在。但中东主要航空公司已开始重建乘客信心并大幅降价，航空专家表示，亚洲收获的意外收益已经因此开始逐渐减少。IATA said that bookings to the Middle East had steadily recovered since April.国际航空运输协会表示，自4月以来，飞往中东的预订量已稳步回升。“You might be tempted to take a risk of flying through the Middle East because the price is so good,” said Jeffrey Goh, a managing director at Alton.“由于票价非常优惠，你可能会忍不住冒风险选择经中东转机，”奥尔顿公司的董事总经理杰弗里·高表示。John Yoon是时报驻首尔记者，报道突发新闻和热点新闻。翻译：晋其角点击查看本文英文版。