GBPAUD Weekly Outlook: Tracking Smart Money After Downside BreakBritish Pound vs Australian DollarFUSIONMARKETS:GBPAUDfxtraderanthonyGBPAUD ๐ The macro narrative heading into this trading week is firmly anchored by monetary policy divergence, with central bank speak highlighting a hawkish RBA against a softening Bank of England posture ๐ฆ. Interestingly, general online sentiment is heavily leaning bullish, with retail consensus sitting heavily long and calling for a quick dip-buy reversal. This tells me we have a classic crowded retail trade setting up a prime liquidity hunt, perfectly positioning smart money to keep driving this pair lower down the path of least resistance. We are looking at a clear Markdown phase following a prolonged accumulation of shorts inside the upper consolidation range ๐. The high-volume node on our volume profile around 1.9110 to 1.9065 shows where smart money established their net-short inventory during that balance phase. The aggressive breakdown from this value area triggered downside price discovery, easily slicing through prior key support levels. Notice how retail traders are currently attempting to catch a falling knife in an ascending corrective channel, directly contradicting the underlying Wyckoffian markdown structure and presenting a textbook bear flag setup. Key Zone: Price is currently pulling back into the key supply zone between the 50.0% (1.90136) and 61.8% (1.90325) Fibonacci retracement levels ๐. This confluence directly overlaps with the lower boundary of the previous value area high/low node and standard VWAP dynamic resistance. We are currently tracking a structural retracement within the corrective channel, setting up the secondary test before continuation. I am patiently watching for a run on liquidity to sweep the eager late buyers stepping in across social forums ๐งน. Once that weak-hand liquidity is engineered and swept near the 50%-61.8% Fibonacci zone, I expect smart money footprints to step in aggressively, triggering a rejection and initiating the next leg of price discovery down toward the -50.0% Fib extension level at 1.88562. My Trade Plan ๐ฏ Bias: Short. Waiting patiently for a high-probability liquidity sweep and confirmation. Entry Protocol: Look for a bearish rejection candle pattern or lower time-frame market structure break within the 1.90136 (50.0% Fib) to 1.90325 (61.8% Fib) confluence zone, aligned with VWAP dynamic resistance, targeting a primary expansion target down to 1.88562.