AUDTHB Eyes Risk SentimentAUSTRALIAN DOLLAR / THAI BAHTFX_IDC:AUDTHBYES_Group- Yesterday Recap 27/8/26 Yesterday, AUDTHB closed at 23.58 in the Thai market. Meanwhile, Private New Capital Expenditure Q2 came in at -3.6%, significantly below the forecast of 0.8% and down from 6.9% previously. Plant & Machinery Capex came in at -8.9%, down from 18.4% previously, reflecting weaker business investment and putting pressure on the AUD. However, Building Capital Expenditure recovered to 2.1%, improving from -3.3% previously, which helped partially offset the negative impact. - Fundamental Analysis AUDTHB — Fundamental 28/8/26 Key News Today There are no major high-impact Australian economic releases today. Therefore, the market will focus on the Chinese economic outlook, as China is one of Australia’s key trading partners, along with Risk Sentiment and expectations for the RBA’s interest-rate outlook. If the market remains Risk-On and the Chinese economy shows signs of recovery, this could support the AUD. Conversely, Risk-Off conditions could increase selling pressure on the AUD and boost demand for safe-haven assets. On the Thai Baht side, the currency continues to be influenced by capital flows and global market sentiment. Although U.S. equities remain supported by strong earnings and NVIDIA’s strong guidance, the Thai stock market opened lower, reflecting selling pressure and a more cautious investment environment, which could put short-term pressure on the Baht. Meanwhile, VIX remains at a low level. However, volatility surrounding Jackson Hole, particularly expectations for the Fed’s monetary policy direction, remains an important factor that could affect the USD and AUD/USD. Overall, AUDTHB is likely to trade within a range, with the main focus on China’s economic outlook, Risk Sentiment, Jackson Hole, and the Thai Baht. - Technical Analysis Bias: Sideway Up AUDTHB remains in a Sideway Up structure, with the price continuing to form Higher Lows and trading above the moving averages. If the price breaks above 23.72, it could move higher to test 23.80, while 23.69–23.65 remains an important support zone for maintaining the bullish momentum. Resistance: 23.72 A key resistance level. A breakout and sustained move above 23.72 could open further upside. Support: 23.69 The first support level around the FVG. As long as the price holds above this level, the bullish structure remains strong. Support: 23.63 A key support level. A break below this level would signal weakening short-term bullish momentum. Target: 23.80 Cut Loss: 23.63 A break below 23.63 could lead to a pullback and a return to the previous trading range.