MARIA VARENIKOVA2026年10月21日上周,乌克兰总统弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基在布鲁塞尔出席欧盟峰会。 Ludovic Marin/Agence France-Presse — Getty ImagesUkraine has been here before with President Trump. But this time, as the American leader plays down Russian violence and makes it harder for Kyiv to respond, Ukrainian leaders have taken a different tack. They have punched back.乌克兰对与特朗普总统周旋并不陌生。但这一次,在这位美国总统淡化俄罗斯的暴力、让基辅更难反击之际,乌克兰领导人改变了策略。他们选择了回击。A senior Ukrainian official likened it to a last chance to sound an alarm as a tsunami approaches. Even before the latest blowup with Mr. Trump, things were looking difficult for Ukraine. Daily strikes were ravaging its energy infrastructure and economy. Ukrainian air defenses were depleted. A difficult winter was drawing near.一名乌克兰高级官员将此比作海啸逼近时发出警报的最后机会。即便在最近与特朗普爆发冲突之前,乌克兰的处境已十分艰难:每日的袭击正摧毁其能源基础设施和经济,防空力量已消耗殆尽,一个艰难的冬天正在逼近。Then Mr. Trump moved to buy Russian diesel, lifted sanctions on Russia and pressured Ukraine to stop hitting Russian oil refineries. Kyiv began reporting sudden restrictions on a Pentagon-funded satellite internet network, gaps in the sharing of U.S. military intelligence and delays in the delivery of American interceptor missiles. American officials deny any disruptions.随后特朗普采取行动购买俄罗斯柴油,解除对俄制裁,并向乌克兰施压要求其停止打击俄罗斯炼油厂。基辅方面开始报告称,一个由五角大楼资助的卫星互联网网络突然受到限制,美国军事情报共享出现缺口,美国拦截导弹迟迟不交付。美国官员否认存在任何中断。The clash reached a new pitch on Monday when Mr. Trump said that “Russia, frankly, has been fine on Ukraine” and that “they haven’t been doing much” — even as Ukrainian civilian casualties from Russian attacks have reached new highs, rising by 85 percent last month compared with a year before, according to the United Nations.这场冲突在周一达到新的高潮。特朗普当时称“坦白讲,俄罗斯在乌克兰问题上一直不错”,“他们没做什么”——而与此同时,据联合国数据,乌克兰因俄罗斯袭击造成的平民伤亡创下新高,上个月同比上升85%。There are signs that neither side is ready to fully abandon the relationship. More than a week into his war of words with Mr. Trump, President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine spoke by telephone on Monday with Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Mr. Zelensky then met in Oslo on Tuesday with Steve Witkoff, Mr. Trump’s peace envoy, and during a news conference afterward, the Ukrainian president avoided any direct criticism of the United States.有迹象显示,双方都不打算彻底放弃这一关系。在与特朗普的口水战持续一个多星期后,乌克兰总统泽连斯基于周一与美国国务卿鲁比奥通电话。随后泽连斯基于周二在奥斯陆会见了特朗普的和平特使威特科夫,在会后的新闻发布会上,这位乌克兰总统避免了对美国的任何直接批评。“We are thankful that intelligence works now,” Mr. Zelensky said, “and I’m speaking about early warning, which is very important for our people, for children, adults, civilians, because we can hear when ballistic is coming.”“我们感谢情报系统现在能正常运转,”泽连斯基说,“我指的是预警,这对我们的人民、儿童、成年人、平民都至关重要,因为我们能听到弹道导弹来袭的警报。”Still, Ukrainian leaders say that Mr. Trump has now gone so far in putting Russia’s interests ahead of Ukraine’s security that holding their tongue would be riskier than speaking up.尽管如此,乌克兰领导人表示,特朗普如今把俄罗斯利益摆在乌克兰安全之上,已经走得太远,他们再保持沉默将面临巨大风险,还不如坦率直言。“People have to hear reality,” Mr. Zelensky said in an interview with ABC News last week. That reality, as the Ukrainian leader described it, was that Mr. Trump had an affinity for dictators, was on the wrong side of history in siding with President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia, and would only prolong the war by helping him.“人们必须听到现实,”泽连斯基上周在接受ABC新闻采访时说。按照这位乌克兰领导人的描述,这一现实是:特朗普对独裁者有亲近感,他选择站在俄罗斯总统普京一边,就是站在历史的对立面,并且帮助普京只会延长战争。本月,乌克兰基辅一处工业区遭俄罗斯袭击,一名消防员在现场。Mr. Zelensky is not the first world leader and putative ally to have to decide how to respond to an attack from Mr. Trump. Like Prime Minister Mark Carney of Canada and a few others, Mr. Zelensky decided this time to push back. Ukrainian politicians and analysts said that was the right decision, even with the dangers involved.许多世界领导人和名义上的盟友不得不就特朗普的攻击做出回应,这方面泽连斯基并不孤单。与加拿大总理卡尼等人一样,泽连斯基这次决定反击。乌克兰政界人士和分析人士表示,这是正确的决定,尽管存在风险。“Trump is openly pushing us to capitulate,” said Mykhailo Samus, a Ukrainian expert on security and military affairs. “That is the situation.”“特朗普在公开推动我们投降,”乌克兰安全与军事事务专家萨穆斯说。“这就是现实。”Before now, Kyiv had sought to maintain a diplomatic, cautious tone with Mr. Trump. After the Oval Office meltdown in February 2025 between the American and Ukrainian presidents, Kyiv was quick to return to thanks and flattery. Ukraine continued to emphasize the importance of preserving the American partnership as Mr. Trump tried to end the war. Within a month, Kyiv offered an immediate, unconditional cease-fire, though Russia did not accept it.在此之前,基辅一直寻求对特朗普保持外交上的谨慎语调。2025年2月美乌总统在椭圆形办公室爆发冲突后,基辅迅速回归感谢与恭维的姿态。在特朗普试图结束战争期间,乌克兰继续强调维护美国伙伴关系的重要性。不到一个月,基辅便提出立即无条件停火,尽管俄罗斯并未接受。Then as now, Ukraine hoped to avoid a cutoff in the crucial military and intelligence support that the United States still provides. Kyiv may now look to move toward de-escalation, having raised the alarm over Mr. Trump and facing the hard reality of a worsening position in the war, even as it holds Russian forces at bay on the front.与当时一样,乌克兰希望避免美国仍在提供的关键军事和情报支持被切断。如今,基辅在就特朗普发出警报之后,可能倾向于缓和气氛,同时面对战局恶化的严酷现实——尽管乌军在前线仍挡住了俄军。周一,美国国务卿马尔科·鲁比奥在乌兹别克斯坦撒马尔罕。After speaking with Mr. Rubio on Monday, Mr. Zelensky wrote on social media: “Thank you to everyone in America who supports fair approaches!” Mr. Trump went unmentioned.周一与鲁比奥通话后,泽连斯基在社交媒体上写道:“感谢美国所有支持公道的人!”特朗普未被提及。Vitaly Portnikov, a political commentator in Ukraine, said Mr. Trump’s attacks had put Mr. Zelensky in a desperate situation. While the Ukrainian leader attacked Mr. Trump’s character at times, he chose to emphasize facts on the ground, with his administration publicly acknowledging the problems Ukraine faced as a result of American restrictions.乌克兰政治评论员维塔利·波尔特尼科夫表示,特朗普的攻击使泽连斯基陷入绝境。尽管这位乌克兰领导人有时批评特朗普的品格,但他选择强调眼下的现实,其政府公开承认乌克兰因美国限制而面临的问题。Mr. Zelensky got a chance to reiterate those problems during a video call on Monday with a bipartisan group of U.S. lawmakers, presumably hoping that domestic political pressure would restrain Mr. Trump from going further.泽连斯基周一在与美国两党议员小组的视频通话中获得了重申这些问题的机会,大概是希望国内政治压力能阻止特朗普进一步行动。The American president has swung away from and back toward Ukraine several times, and another swing is possible. The midterm elections, which are driving some of Mr. Trump’s moves on Russia, could scramble the political landscape again.这位美国总统已多次在乌克兰问题上摇摆,再一次出现转向并非不可能。特朗普在俄罗斯问题上的一些举动部分是受到中期选举的影响,这次选举可能再次打乱政治格局。But Mr. Portnikov took Mr. Zelensky’s dialogue with Mr. Rubio, who is currently visiting India, as a good omen.但波尔特尼科夫将泽连斯基与鲁比奥的对话视为好的迹象,后者目前正在访问印度。“If the Ukrainian president is making forceful statements directed at the United States while the secretary of state takes the time to speak with him during a trip to Asia, it suggests that the Trump administration is not prepared for a rupture in U.S.-Ukrainian relations,” Mr. Portnikov said.“如果乌克兰总统发表了针对美国的强硬声明,国务卿还是在访问亚洲期间抽时间与他通话,表明特朗普政府不准备让美乌关系破裂,”波尔特尼科夫说。Nataliia Novosolova对本文有报道贡献。Maria Varenikova报道乌克兰与俄罗斯的战争。翻译:经雷点击查看本文英文版。