An AI tool improves weather forecasts up to a month ahead

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RESEARCH BRIEFINGS21 October 2026An innovative artificial-intelligence application enhances weather forecasting in the difficult subseasonal range, providing accurate forecasts of precipitation, temperature and pressure 3–5 weeks in advance. The tool refines both physics- and AI-based weather models and improves the early prediction of extremes of heat, cold, rainfall and flooding.View saved researchThis is a summary of: Guan, H. et al. Advancing subseasonal forecasting with machine learning. Nature 658, 951–957 (2026).Access options Access through your institutionAccess Nature and 54 other Nature Portfolio journalsGet Nature+, our best-value online-access subscription27.99 € / 30 days cancel any timeLearn moreSubscribe to this journalReceive 51 print issues and online access199.00 € per year only 3.90 € per issueLearn moreRent or buy this articlePrices vary by article type$1.95 to $39.95Learn morePrices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkoutdoi: https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-026-03077-0‘Expert opinion’ is published under a CC BY 4.0 licence and Figure 1 is published under a CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 licence.ReferencesCohen, J. et al. WIREs Clim. Change 10, e00567 (2018).Article  Google Scholar Nathaniel, J. et al. Adv. Neural Inf. Process. Syst. 37, 43715–43729 (2024).Article  Google Scholar Hwang, J., Orenstein, P., Cohen, J., Pfeiffer, K. & Mackey, L. In Proc. 25th ACM SIGKDD Int. Conf. Knowledge Discovery Data Mining (eds Teredesai, A. & Kumar, V.) 2325–2335 (ACM, 2019).Mouatadid, S. et al. Adv. Neural Inf. Process. Syst. 36, 7960–7992 (2023).Article  Google Scholar Mouatadid, S. et al. Nature Commun. 14, 3482 (2023).Article  PubMed  Google Scholar Download referencesSubjectsMachine learningClimate sciencesLatest on:Machine learningClimate sciencesJobs Multiple Tenure-Track Faculty Positions (Assistant, Associate, and Full Professor)Multiple Tenure-Track Faculty Positions (Assistant, Associate, and Full Professor)West Miami, Florida (US)University of Miami Miller School of MedicineDeputy Editor, Nature Progress Tissue EngineeringJob Title: Deputy Editor, Nature Progress Tissue Engineering Location: Shanghai, Beijing, Pune, New Delhi - hybrid working model Closing date: 30th...Shanghai, Beijing, Pune, New Delhi - hybrid working modelSpringer Nature LtdPostdoctoral Fellow Position – Cancer ImmunotherapiesPostdoctoral Fellow Position to study Cancer Immunology & design novel Cancer Immunotherapies @ University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore.21201, BaltimoreUniversity of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore