XRP LONG above 1.284: last week's low swept, 1.322 next

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XRP LONG above 1.284: last week's low swept, 1.322 nextXRP / TetherUSBINANCE:XRPUSDTAKORDERFLOW2Bias: LONG XRP above 1.284. Expected: 1.304 (this week's POC), then 1.322 (this week's VWAP). Invalidation: a 1h close below 1.274. Data: Binance XRPUSDT spot, 1-minute candles, 0.002 price rows, real taker delta (buy volume minus sell volume). 3-month profile from 1h candles. Levels plotted with VWAP & Volume Profile Order Flow Map . Why long: 1) A clean sweep of last week's low. Last week (Oct 12-18) bottomed at 1.2562. Saturday flushed to 1.2546 at 15:30 UTC during the day's heaviest selling: delta about -833K XRP in the 13:00 hour, -730K at 14:00 and -1.33M at 15:00. Not one 1-minute candle closed below 1.2562. The stops under the low got taken and price came straight back. 2) Back inside this week's value. This week's value area is 1.284-1.344, POC 1.304, VWAP 1.322. The first 1-minute close back above 1.284 came at 18:29 UTC; since then only 2 of 226 closes were below it. Hourly closes from 18:00: 1.2869, 1.2887, 1.2916, 1.2927, 1.2951. Every hour closed higher. 3) Absorption on the way up. Since 16:00 delta is about -515K XRP, yet price rose from 1.268 to 1.295. Sellers kept hitting the bid and price still climbed: passive buyers are soaking up the supply. 4) The volume map above is thin. On the 3-month profile the 1.29-1.30 rows are heavy. The 1.31-1.32 rows hold about half of that, and the next heavy shelf is 1.33-1.34. Once 1.304 is accepted, price can travel through the thin pocket to the 1.322 VWAP quickly. What argues against it: - Saturday's full-day delta is still about -3.7M XRP, and the week's about -15.6M. - Weekend liquidity is thin. - First test is right here: Saturday's high 1.2961 and Saturday's value high 1.294. If price stalls there and closes back under 1.284, the buyers failed. What cancels the idea: a 1h close below 1.274 (Saturday's value low). Then the sweep failed and 1.2546 is back in play. Analysis and forecast, not personal financial advice. Manage your own risk.